概念上的问题阻碍了对规划者面前的微弱信号和 "通配符 "的研究

Mátyás Szabó
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在公共政策设计和决策实践中,对微弱信号和 "通配符 "的实际搜索并没有跟上情景构建的爆炸式发展。潜在的农村发展规划者在参与此类研究时面临着许多概念上的挑战。本文总结了这些阻碍农村发展利用的理论观点。现象和准备工作的发现、速度和影响提出了对所选研究方法具有决定性影响的问题。文章探讨了增加研究频率和前瞻性后续活动的必要性,以及研究者和解释者的主观作用,希望能邀请未来学研究者进行进一步的研究和讨论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Conceptual concerns hindering the research of weak signals and wild cards ahead of planners
The practical search for weak signals and wild cards does not follow the explosion of scenario building in public policy designing and policymaking practices. Potential rural development planners face a number of conceptual challenges when they would engage in such research. The article takes stock of these theoretical points, which are hindering the rural development use. The detection, speed and impact of phenomena and preparation raise questions that have a decisive impact on the chosen research methodology. The article explores the need to increase the frequency of research and the follow-up activities of the foresights, as well as the subjective role of the researcher and interpreter, in the hope of inviting futures studies researchers for further research and discussion.
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