预测和改变未来:关于全球南部跨学科沿海研究的文献综述

IF 5.3 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences
Lilly Baumann, Maraja Riechers, L. Celliers, S. Ferse
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要 采用跨学科方法对未来进行预测,对于为采取适当行动应对当前和未来的风险以及促 进可持续性转型奠定基础至关重要。全球南部沿海地区尤其面临着因气候变化而加剧的严峻环境和社会挑战。然而,传统的研究方法和认识论可能无法反映出设想截然不同的可持续未来的需要。为了全面了解全球南部沿海地区转型跨学科研究的现状并找出差距,我们对实证性英文研究文章(n = 256)进行了系统的文献综述。结果表明,所查阅的大多数文章都侧重于过去和现状分析。那些使用预测方法的文章很少分析或建立预测与可持续性转型之间的联系。然而,跨学科研究和预测研究在促进可持续发展转型方面具有协同作用。这些方法的结合可以整合利益相关者的多元声音和价值观,促进潜在的替代愿景,以对抗不可持续的叙事。因此,对可能未来的展望可能会更具包容性,更能反映全球南部的现实。采用跨学科方法预测未来可以为适应性管理未来的环境和社会挑战奠定基础。它可以提供知识基础,用于识别、减少或防止造成未来不良状况的治理行动。将预测和展望纳入跨学科研究,为实现或逐步实现创新和可持续的未来愿景创造了可能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Anticipating and transforming futures: a literature review on transdisciplinary coastal research in the Global South
ABSTRACT Anticipation of futures using transdisciplinary approaches is critical to provide the basis for appropriate action to cope with current and future risks and to foster sustainability transformations. Coasts in the Global South in particular are subjected to severe environmental and societal challenges exacerbated by climate change. Yet, traditional research methods and epistemologies may not reflect the need for envisioning radically different sustainable futures. To gain an overview of and identify gaps in the current practices of transformational transdisciplinary research in coastal regions of the Global South, we conducted a systematic literature review of empirical English-language research articles (n = 256). Our results showed that most of the articles reviewed focused on past and current state analysis. Those articles using anticipation methods rarely analysed or established a link between anticipation and sustainability transformation. Yet, transdisciplinary and anticipation research have synergistic effects to foster sustainability transformation. A combination of these approaches may integrate pluralistic voices and values of stakeholders and foster potential alternative visions to counter unsustainable narratives. Thereby, the visions for possible futures may become more inclusive and reflective of realities in the Global South. Anticipation of the future using transdisciplinary approaches can provide a basis for adaptive management of future environmental and societal challenges. It may provide the knowledge-base which can be used to identify, reduce or prevent governance actions that result in undesirable states of the future. The inclusion of anticipation and foresight in transdisciplinary research creates the potential for achieving or progressing towards innovative and sustainable visions of the future.
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来源期刊
Ecosystems and People
Ecosystems and People Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics
CiteScore
7.80
自引率
11.30%
发文量
40
审稿时长
42 weeks
期刊介绍: Ecosystems and People is an interdisciplinary journal that addresses how biodiversity and ecosystems underpin human quality of life, and how societal activities and preferences drive changes in ecosystems. Research published in Ecosystems and People addresses human-nature relationships and social-ecological systems in a broad sense. This embraces research on biodiversity, ecosystem services, their contributions to quality of life, implications for equity and justice, and the diverse and rich ways in which people relate to nature.
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