社会团结与犯罪：牙买加和特立尼达和多巴哥的 COVID-19 效应

IF 1.1 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

Journal of Developing Societies Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI:10.1177/0169796X231209119

Randy Seepersad, Corin Bailey, Lina Marmolejo

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引用次数: 0

摘要

之前的研究使用压力、理性选择或常规活动方法来解释COVID-19大流行后犯罪水平的变化。观察到的变化并不总是与这些理论方法的预测相一致。这项研究使用社会团结的方法，可以用来更好地解释观察到的变化。有人认为，全国性的灾难，如流行病，可以增加社会团结，从而对犯罪产生抑制作用。来自特立尼达和多巴哥和牙买加的官方犯罪数据被用来探索这一假设。自回归综合移动平均模型的结果显示，特立尼达和多巴哥的犯罪率有所下降，但牙买加在COVID-19限制之后没有下降。该研究认为，特立尼达和多巴哥的社会团结可能有所增加，但牙买加没有，这解释了观察到的差异。

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Social Solidarity and Crime: The COVID-19 Effect in Jamaica and Trinidad and Tobago

Previous studies used the strain, rational choice, or routine activities approach to explain changes in crime levels after the COVID-19 pandemic. Observed changes have not always been consistent with predictions made by these theoretical approaches. This study uses a social solidarity approach which can be used to better explain observed changes. It is argued that national disasters, such as pandemics, can result in an increase in social solidarity which can have a suppressive effect on crime. Official crime data from Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica are used to explore this hypothesis. The results from auto-regressive integrated moving average modeling show that there was a decline in crime in Trinidad and Tobago but not in Jamaica after COVID-19 restrictions. The study argues that social solidarity may have increased in Trinidad and Tobago, but not in Jamaica, accounting for the observed differences.

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来源期刊

Journal of Developing Societies DEVELOPMENT STUDIES-

CiteScore

2.00

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Developing Societies is a refereed international journal on development and social change in all societies. JDS provides an interdisciplinary forum for the publication of theoretical perspectives, research findings, case studies, policy analyses and normative critiques on the issues, problems and policies associated with both mainstream and alternative approaches to development. The scope of the journal is not limited to articles on the Third World or the Global South, rather it encompasses articles on development and change in the "developed" as well as "developing" societies of the world. The journal seeks to represent the full range of diverse theoretical and ideological viewpoints on development that exist in the contemporary international community.