基于网络结构的高频波动率模型

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Huiling Yuan, Kexin Lu, Guodong Li, Junhui Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文介绍了一种新的多变量波动率模型,该模型可以适应基于低频和高频数据的适当定义的网络结构。该模型大大减少了未知参数的数量和计算复杂度。讨论了模型的建立、迭代多步超前预测和目标参数化。提出了用于参数估计的拟似然函数,并建立了其渐近性质。为了评估有限样本下参数估计的性能,进行了一系列的仿真研究。此外,实际数据分析表明,该模型在预测日收益和实现指标的未来方差方面优于现有的波动率模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model with Network Structure

High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model with Network Structure

This paper introduces a novel multi-variate volatility model that can accommodate appropriately defined network structures based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model offers substantial reductions in the number of unknown parameters and computational complexity. The model formulation, along with iterative multi-step-ahead forecasting and targeting parameterization are discussed. Quasi-likelihood functions for parameter estimation are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. A series of simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of parameter estimation in finite samples. Furthermore, a real data analysis demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms the existing volatility models in prediction of future variances of daily return and realized measures.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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