基于网络结构的高频波动率模型

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Huiling Yuan, Kexin Lu, Guodong Li, Junhui Wang
{"title":"基于网络结构的高频波动率模型","authors":"Huiling Yuan,&nbsp;Kexin Lu,&nbsp;Guodong Li,&nbsp;Junhui Wang","doi":"10.1111/jtsa.12726","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper introduces a novel multi-variate volatility model that can accommodate appropriately defined network structures based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model offers substantial reductions in the number of unknown parameters and computational complexity. The model formulation, along with iterative multi-step-ahead forecasting and targeting parameterization are discussed. Quasi-likelihood functions for parameter estimation are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. A series of simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of parameter estimation in finite samples. Furthermore, a real data analysis demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms the existing volatility models in prediction of future variances of daily return and realized measures.</p>","PeriodicalId":49973,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","volume":"45 4","pages":"533-557"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jtsa.12726","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model with Network Structure\",\"authors\":\"Huiling Yuan,&nbsp;Kexin Lu,&nbsp;Guodong Li,&nbsp;Junhui Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jtsa.12726\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>This paper introduces a novel multi-variate volatility model that can accommodate appropriately defined network structures based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model offers substantial reductions in the number of unknown parameters and computational complexity. The model formulation, along with iterative multi-step-ahead forecasting and targeting parameterization are discussed. Quasi-likelihood functions for parameter estimation are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. A series of simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of parameter estimation in finite samples. Furthermore, a real data analysis demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms the existing volatility models in prediction of future variances of daily return and realized measures.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49973,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Time Series Analysis\",\"volume\":\"45 4\",\"pages\":\"533-557\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-12-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jtsa.12726\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Time Series Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12726\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12726","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

本文介绍了一种新的多变量波动率模型,该模型可以适应基于低频和高频数据的适当定义的网络结构。该模型大大减少了未知参数的数量和计算复杂度。讨论了模型的建立、迭代多步超前预测和目标参数化。提出了用于参数估计的拟似然函数,并建立了其渐近性质。为了评估有限样本下参数估计的性能,进行了一系列的仿真研究。此外,实际数据分析表明,该模型在预测日收益和实现指标的未来方差方面优于现有的波动率模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model with Network Structure

High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model with Network Structure

This paper introduces a novel multi-variate volatility model that can accommodate appropriately defined network structures based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model offers substantial reductions in the number of unknown parameters and computational complexity. The model formulation, along with iterative multi-step-ahead forecasting and targeting parameterization are discussed. Quasi-likelihood functions for parameter estimation are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. A series of simulation studies are carried out to assess the performance of parameter estimation in finite samples. Furthermore, a real data analysis demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms the existing volatility models in prediction of future variances of daily return and realized measures.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Journal of Time Series Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering. The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信