最优消费——时变不完全偏好下的投资问题

Weixuan Xia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主要目标是在由耐心、社会化效应和市场波动等外部性驱动的时变不完全偏好下,为最优消费-投资选择问题([Merton, 1969]和[Merton,1971])开发一个鞅型解决方案。市场是由多种风险资产和多种消费品组成的,此外还有多个波动的偏好参数,这些参数的不精确值与不精确的品味有关。效用最大化是一个多准则问题,可能包含函数值准则。为了得到完整的解的特征,我们首先激发并引入了多效用指标动态的集值随机过程,并在拓扑向量空间中表述了优化问题。然后,我们改进了一个经典的标量化方法,考虑了维数的无限性和随机性,并证明了结果与原问题等价。通过实例说明,逐步论证了该方法的实用性和实用性。本文还比较简要地讨论了原始问题和对偶问题之间的联系。最后,利用随机几何的Malliavin演算,我们发现最优投资策略是一般集值的,其每个选择器都承认包含额外的不确定性风险对冲组合的四向分解。我们的研究结果触及了最优消费的新方向——在不可比比性和时间不一致性存在的情况下的投资选择,也表明了对资产价格可变性的潜在可测试假设。研究了遗忘值过程的仿真技术,以便在实际中计算出已解的最优策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimal Consumption--Investment Problems under Time-Varying Incomplete Preferences
The main objective of this paper is to develop a martingale-type solution to optimal consumption--investment choice problems ([Merton, 1969] and [Merton, 1971]) under time-varying incomplete preferences driven by externalities such as patience, socialization effects, and market volatility. The market is composed of multiple risky assets and multiple consumption goods, while in addition there are multiple fluctuating preference parameters with inexact values connected to imprecise tastes. Utility maximization is a multi-criteria problem with possibly function-valued criteria. To come up with a complete characterization of the solutions, first we motivate and introduce a set-valued stochastic process for the dynamics of multi-utility indices and formulate the optimization problem in a topological vector space. Then, we modify a classical scalarization method allowing for infiniteness and randomness in dimensions and prove results of equivalence to the original problem. Illustrative examples are given to demonstrate practical interests and method applicability progressively. The link between the original problem and a dual problem is also discussed, relatively briefly. Finally, using Malliavin calculus with stochastic geometry, we find optimal investment policies to be generally set-valued, each of whose selectors admits a four-way decomposition involving an additional indecisiveness risk-hedging portfolio. Our results touch on new directions for optimal consumption--investment choices in the presence of incomparability and time inconsistency, also signaling potentially testable assumptions on the variability of asset prices. Simulation techniques for set-valued processes are studied for how solved optimal policies can be computed in practice.
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