{"title":"ATM隐含了ADO-Heston模型的倾斜","authors":"Andrey Itkin","doi":"arxiv-2309.15044","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In this paper similar to [P. Carr, A. Itkin, 2019] we construct another\nMarkovian approximation of the rough Heston-like volatility model - the\nADO-Heston model. The characteristic function (CF) of the model is derived\nunder both risk-neutral and real measures which is an unsteady\nthree-dimensional PDE with some coefficients being functions of the time $t$\nand the Hurst exponent $H$. To replicate known behavior of the market implied\nskew we proceed with a wise choice of the market price of risk, and then find a\nclosed form expression for the CF of the log-price and the ATM implied skew.\nBased on the provided example, we claim that the ADO-Heston model (which is a\npure diffusion model but with a stochastic mean-reversion speed of the variance\nprocess, or a Markovian approximation of the rough Heston model) is able\n(approximately) to reproduce the known behavior of the vanilla implied skew at\nsmall $T$. We conclude that the behavior of our implied volatility skew curve\n${\\cal S}(T) \\propto a(H) T^{b\\cdot (H-1/2)}, \\, b = const$, is not exactly\nsame as in rough volatility models since $b \\ne 1$, but seems to be close\nenough for all practical values of $T$. Thus, the proposed Markovian model is\nable to replicate some properties of the corresponding rough volatility model.\nSimilar analysis is provided for the forward starting options where we found\nthat the ATM implied skew for the forward starting options can blow-up for any\n$s > t$ when $T \\to s$. This result, however, contradicts to the observation of\n[E. Alos, D.G. Lorite, 2021] that Markovian approximation is not able to catch\nthis behavior, so remains the question on which one is closer to reality.","PeriodicalId":501355,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Pricing of Securities","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The ATM implied skew in the ADO-Heston model\",\"authors\":\"Andrey Itkin\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2309.15044\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In this paper similar to [P. Carr, A. Itkin, 2019] we construct another\\nMarkovian approximation of the rough Heston-like volatility model - the\\nADO-Heston model. The characteristic function (CF) of the model is derived\\nunder both risk-neutral and real measures which is an unsteady\\nthree-dimensional PDE with some coefficients being functions of the time $t$\\nand the Hurst exponent $H$. To replicate known behavior of the market implied\\nskew we proceed with a wise choice of the market price of risk, and then find a\\nclosed form expression for the CF of the log-price and the ATM implied skew.\\nBased on the provided example, we claim that the ADO-Heston model (which is a\\npure diffusion model but with a stochastic mean-reversion speed of the variance\\nprocess, or a Markovian approximation of the rough Heston model) is able\\n(approximately) to reproduce the known behavior of the vanilla implied skew at\\nsmall $T$. We conclude that the behavior of our implied volatility skew curve\\n${\\\\cal S}(T) \\\\propto a(H) T^{b\\\\cdot (H-1/2)}, \\\\, b = const$, is not exactly\\nsame as in rough volatility models since $b \\\\ne 1$, but seems to be close\\nenough for all practical values of $T$. Thus, the proposed Markovian model is\\nable to replicate some properties of the corresponding rough volatility model.\\nSimilar analysis is provided for the forward starting options where we found\\nthat the ATM implied skew for the forward starting options can blow-up for any\\n$s > t$ when $T \\\\to s$. This result, however, contradicts to the observation of\\n[E. Alos, D.G. Lorite, 2021] that Markovian approximation is not able to catch\\nthis behavior, so remains the question on which one is closer to reality.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501355,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Pricing of Securities\",\"volume\":\"19 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-09-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Pricing of Securities\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2309.15044\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - QuantFin - Pricing of Securities","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2309.15044","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
In this paper similar to [P. Carr, A. Itkin, 2019] we construct another
Markovian approximation of the rough Heston-like volatility model - the
ADO-Heston model. The characteristic function (CF) of the model is derived
under both risk-neutral and real measures which is an unsteady
three-dimensional PDE with some coefficients being functions of the time $t$
and the Hurst exponent $H$. To replicate known behavior of the market implied
skew we proceed with a wise choice of the market price of risk, and then find a
closed form expression for the CF of the log-price and the ATM implied skew.
Based on the provided example, we claim that the ADO-Heston model (which is a
pure diffusion model but with a stochastic mean-reversion speed of the variance
process, or a Markovian approximation of the rough Heston model) is able
(approximately) to reproduce the known behavior of the vanilla implied skew at
small $T$. We conclude that the behavior of our implied volatility skew curve
${\cal S}(T) \propto a(H) T^{b\cdot (H-1/2)}, \, b = const$, is not exactly
same as in rough volatility models since $b \ne 1$, but seems to be close
enough for all practical values of $T$. Thus, the proposed Markovian model is
able to replicate some properties of the corresponding rough volatility model.
Similar analysis is provided for the forward starting options where we found
that the ATM implied skew for the forward starting options can blow-up for any
$s > t$ when $T \to s$. This result, however, contradicts to the observation of
[E. Alos, D.G. Lorite, 2021] that Markovian approximation is not able to catch
this behavior, so remains the question on which one is closer to reality.