决策时间揭示战略环境中的私人信息:来自议价实验的证据

Arkady Konovalov, Ian Krajbich
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当人们有明确的偏好时,反应迅速,而当他们接近冷漠时,反应缓慢。问题是其他人是否会利用这种倾向来推断私人信息。在两阶段议价实验中,我们观察到买方拒绝卖方出价的速度随着先验剩余的大小而减小。这应该允许卖家从反应时间(RT)中推断出买家的价值,从而激励买家操纵他们的反应时间。我们通过实验确定了不同的条件,在这些条件下,受试者表现出或不表现出这种战略行为。这些结果首次深入了解了将RT用作战略变量的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Decision Times Reveal Private Information in Strategic Settings: Evidence from Bargaining Experiments
People respond quickly when they have a clear preference and slowly when they are close to indifference. The question is whether others exploit this tendency to infer private information. In two-stage bargaining experiments, we observe that the speed with which buyers reject sellers’ offers decreases with the size of the foregone surplus. This should allow sellers to infer buyers’ values from response times (RT), creating an incentive for buyers to manipulate their RT. We experimentally identify distinct conditions under which subjects do, and do not, exhibit such strategic behaviour. These results provide the first insight into the possible use of RT as a strategic variable.
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