马来西亚大型太阳能光伏储能系统设计:技术经济分析

Mahmoud Laajimi, Yun Ii Go
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引用次数: 18

摘要

大规模太阳能是马来西亚能源结构中不可逆转的趋势。由于太阳能发电峰值与需求峰值之间的不匹配,储能项目对于优化这一可再生资源的利用至关重要。虽然这种转变的技术和环境效益已经得到了检验,但在马来西亚,储能系统与大规模太阳能光伏相结合的盈利能力还没有得到研究。该项目旨在确定电力系统最有利可图的商业模式,包括光伏装机容量、储能容量和电力系统组件。对不同类型、不同规模、多种配置的大型太阳能光伏与储能相结合项目的经济效益进行了比较研究。当储能输出与LSS输出比为A = 5%时,保证LCOE的最低值。在这种情况下,30兆瓦的项目拥有最便宜的电力,相当于0.2484令吉/千瓦时。另一方面,增加储能输出与LSS输出之比,从A增加到60%,LCOE增加,超过RM 0.47/kWh。在经济方面,彭亨州和霹雳州的分析差异为0.06千瓦时/平方米/天,净现值的差异超过净现值成本的7.5%。对于50兆瓦的项目,这两个地点之间的差异相对较大。A = 60% = RM 1167万,A = 5% = RM 1350万。由于马来西亚的能源价格,只包括大型太阳能的项目在技术和财务上比包括大型太阳能和储能的项目更有利可图。研究发现,在大型太阳能项目中增加储能在技术和财务上更有利可图,因为大型太阳能容量更大,而储能容量更小。然而,根据马来西亚目前的能源价格,仅包括储能的项目在财务上并不有利可图。本研究确定了影响大型太阳能项目和储能项目盈利能力的参数,以及使财务利润最大化的配置。这项研究的结果对未来旨在加强马来西亚大规模太阳能光伏和储能部署的法规是有用的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Energy storage system design for large-scale solar PV in Malaysia: techno-economic analysis
Large-scale solar is a non-reversible trend in the energy mix of Malaysia. Due to the mismatch between the peak of solar energy generation and the peak demand, energy storage projects are essential and crucial to optimize the use of this renewable resource. Although the technical and environmental benefits of such transition have been examined, the profitability of energy storage systems combined with large-scale solar PV has not been studied in Malaysia. This project aims to determine the most profitable business model of power systems, in terms of PV installed capacity, and energy storage capacity, and power system components. A comparative study has been done to compare the economic outcomes from different types of projects, with different scales and multiple configurations of large-scale solar PV combined with energy storage. The lowest values of LCOE are guaranteed with energy storage output to LSS output ratio, A = 5%. In this case, 30-MW projects have the cheapest electricity, equal to RM 0.2484/kWh. On the other hand, increasing the energy storage output to LSS output ratio, A to 60% results in the increase of LCOE, exceeding RM 0.47/kWh. On the economical side, with a difference of 0.06 kWh/m2/day for the analysis carried out in Pahang and Perak, the difference in net present worth is more than 7.5% of the net present cost. The difference between the two locations is comparatively higher for 50-MW projects. It is equal to RM 11.67 Million for A = 60%, while it is equal to RM 13.5 Million with A = 5%. Due to the energy prices in Malaysia, the projects that include large-scale solar only are more profitable technically and financially than those including large-scale solar and energy storage. It is found that adding storage to a large-scale solar project is more profitable technically and financially with greater large-scale solar capacities and smaller storage capacities. Nevertheless, with the current energy prices in Malaysia, projects that include only energy storage are not financially profitable. This study determined the parameters that affect the profitability of large-scale solar energy projects and energy storage projects, and the configurations that maximize financial profits. The findings of this study are useful for the future regulations that intend to enhance the deployment of large-scale solar PV and energy storage in Malaysia.
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