icu收治脓毒症患者伴或不伴菌血症的临床特征和实验室生物标志物:一项预测性分析

Sangwon Baek, Seungjun Lee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:很少有研究调查生物标志物在预测重症监护病房(ICU)脓毒症患者菌血症中的诊断效用。因此,本研究评估了实验室生物标志物的预测能力,利用这些高性能的标志物来优化菌血症的预测模型。方法:回顾性横断面研究于2019年在庆尚道国立大学昌原医院重症监护室进行。选择符合脓毒症- 3(序贯器官衰竭评分增加≥2)标准且至少有两组血培养的成年患者。收集到的数据首先进行独立分析,以确定显著的预测因子,然后用于构建多变量逻辑回归(MLR)模型。结果:本研究共分析了218例真菌血症48例。CRP和PCT鉴别脓毒症患者菌血症的曲线下面积(AUC)值均较大(分别为0.757和0.845)。为进一步提高预测准确性,我们结合PCT、胆红素、中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、血小板、乳酸、红细胞沉降率(ESR)、格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评分建立预测模型,AUC为0.907[0.843-0.956]。此外,通过生存分析发现菌血症与死亡率之间存在高度关联(P=0.004)。结论:虽然PCT本身确实是区分有无菌血症患者的有用指标,但我们的MLR模型表明,PCT、胆红素、NLR、血小板、乳酸、ESR和GCS评分联合使用可以显著提高菌血症预测的准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Clinical Characteristics and Laboratory Biomarkers in ICU-admitted Septic Patients with and without Bacteremia: A Predictive Analysis
Background: Few studies have investigated the diagnostic utilities of biomarkers for predicting bacteremia among septic patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU). Therefore, this study evaluated the prediction power of laboratory biomarkers to utilize those markers with high performance to optimize the predictive model for bacteremia. Methods: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted at the ICU department of Gyeongsang National University Changwon Hospital in 2019. Adult patients qualifying SEPSIS—3 (increase in sequential organ failure score ≥ 2) criteria with at least two sets of blood culture were selected. Collected data was initially analyzed independently to identify the significant predictors, which was then used to build the multivariable logistic regression (MLR) model. Results: A total of 218 patients with 48 cases of true bacteremia were analyzed in this research. Both CRP and PCT showed a substantial area under the curve (AUC) value for discriminating bacteremia among septic patients (0.757 and 0.845, respectively). To further enhance the predictive accuracy, we combined PCT, bilirubin, neutrophil—lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelets, lactic acid, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score to build the predictive model with an AUC of 0.907 [0.843–0.956]. In addition, a high association between bacteremia and mortality rate was discovered through the survival analysis (P=0.004). Conclusions: While PCT is certainly a useful index for distinguishing patients with and without bacteremia by itself, our MLR model indicates that the accuracy of bacteremia prediction substantially improves by the combined use of PCT, bilirubin, NLR, platelets, lactic acid, ESR, and GCS score.
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