尼日利亚妇女婚姻状况地理格局的建模决定因素

IF 1.1 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY
Dorothy N. Ononokpono, Olukemi G. Adebola , Ezra Gayawan , Adeniyi F. Fagbamigbe
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引用次数: 5

摘要

婚姻是人类生活的一个重要的社会、文化和生物方面,但往往受到社会变化的影响,导致家庭组成和生殖行为的差异。婚姻模式的变化是社会结构变革的组成部分。随着时间的推移,婚姻模式在国家内部和国家之间存在差异。我们研究了尼日利亚育龄妇女(15-49岁)婚姻状况的趋势和空间格局,并根据该国的南北鸿沟进一步确定了相关因素。数据来自2003年、2008年、2013年和2018年进行的尼日利亚人口与健康调查,婚姻模式分为四类:未婚、已婚、同居和已婚。采用贝叶斯多项空间模型,通过地质加性预测器同时估计不同形式的参数,并基于马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗进行推理。调查结果揭示了南北婚姻模式的差异。该国北部地区的妇女结婚的可能性更高,而南部地区的妇女同居的可能性更高。在已婚者中,东西之间的差异有所不同。研究发现,宗教和种族是造成不同地区和城乡居民婚姻模式差异的主要因素。因此,由这些变量决定的文化习俗将继续影响尼日利亚的婚姻模式,进而影响生育率。因此,在制定与婚姻有关的政策时,必须考虑这些因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modelling determinants of geographical Patterns in the Marital Statuses of Women in Nigeria

Marriage is an important social, cultural, and biological aspect of human life but is often affected by societal changes leading to differences in family formation and reproductive behaviour. Changes in marital patterns are component of transformations in a society’s social structure. Variations in marriage patterns exist within and across countries and over time. We examine the trends and spatial patterns of marital statuses among women of reproductive age (15–49 years) in Nigeria and further determine the associated factors based on the country’s north–south divide. Data were sourced from the Nigeria demographic and health survey conducted in 2003, 2008, 2013, and 2018, and the marital patterns were classified into four categories: never married, married, cohabiting, and formerly married. A Bayesian multinomial spatial model that simultaneously estimates parameters of different forms through a geo-additive predictor was adopted, and inference was based on Markov chain Monte Carlo. Findings reveal a north–south divide in marriage patterns. Women in the northern part of the country have a higher likelihood of being in marital union, while those in the south have a higher likelihood of cohabitation. A somewhat east–west divide was obtained for formerly married. Religion and ethnicity were found to be the major factors that account for differences in marital patterns across the divide and based on rural and urban residency. Cultural practices dictated by these variables would, therefore, continue to shape marital patterns and, by extension, fertility in Nigeria. The factors are hence important to be considered in marriage related policy formulation.

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来源期刊
Spatial Demography
Spatial Demography DEMOGRAPHY-
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
期刊介绍: Spatial Demography focuses on understanding the spatial and spatiotemporal dimension of demographic processes.  More specifically, the journal is interested in submissions that include the innovative use and adoption of spatial concepts, geospatial data, spatial technologies, and spatial analytic methods that further our understanding of demographic and policy-related related questions. The journal publishes both substantive and methodological papers from across the discipline of demography and its related fields (including economics, geography, sociology, anthropology, environmental science) and in applications ranging from local to global scale. In addition to research articles the journal will consider for publication review essays, book reviews, and reports/reviews on data, software, and instructional resources.
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