量化宽松对韩国通货膨胀的影响

IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS
Min-Ho Nam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文对美国、欧元区、英国、日本等4个发达国家的中央银行实施的量化宽松政策对韩国通货膨胀的整体影响进行了评价。根据以这些国家的中央银行的证券持有量为外生变量的VAR-X模型分析,量化宽松政策将对韩国的物价产生下行压力。考虑到韩国宏观经济变量对量化宽松冲击的脉冲反应,溢出效应通过汇率渠道传导,而贸易渠道无效。在另一项评估各央行量化宽松计划影响的分析中,估计只有美联储和欧洲央行的量化宽松计划影响重大。即使使用长期利率作为量化宽松的替代指标,实证结果也证明是稳健的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Quantitative Easing on Inflation in Korea
This paper evaluates the whole impact of quantitative easing on inflation in Korea implemented by the central banks in four major advanced economies, the U.S., Euro Area, U.K. and Japan. According to the analysis employing a VAR-X model with the security holdings of those central banks an exogenous variable, quantitative easing is estimated to exert downward pressures on inflation in Korea. Considering the impulse responses of Korean macroeconomic variables to a quantitative easing shock, the spillover effect is transmitted through exchange rate channel while trade channel turns out to be ineffective. In an additional analysis assessing the impact of each quantitative easing program of the central banks, only those of the Fed and European Central Bank are estimated to be significant. The empirical results prove to be robust even if using long-term interest rates as an alternative indicator of quantitative easing.
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