政策分析的国际风险分担研究综述

IF 1 Q3 ECONOMICS
Pilar Poncela, Michela Nardo, Filippo M. Pericoli
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文从欧盟的角度对国际风险分担和相关政策问题进行了全面的分析。传统分析考虑了三种风险分担渠道:资本市场渠道(通过跨境证券投资)、国际转移和信贷市场渠道(通过储蓄)。对比分析显示,平均而言,欧洲约80%的冲击仍未得到缓解,而只有约18%的冲击传导至美国消费者。从总体数据来看,欧洲的跨境投资渠道仍有改善的空间。从这个意义上说,银行和资本市场联盟的完成有望促进欧洲成员国之间的风险分担。我们还回顾了传统文献中通常没有考虑到的新的附加问题,如贬值、移民和主权的作用,以及文献中最近考虑的两个新的附加渠道:政府消费和实际汇率。最后,我们还研究了最近有关风险分担的地理分布的分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Review of International Risk Sharing for Policy Analysis
This paper offers a comprehensive view of international risk sharing and of related policy issues from the perspective of the European Union. The traditional analyses contemplate three risk-sharing channels: the capital markets channel (through cross border portfolio investments), international transfers and the credit markets channel (via savings). Comparative analyses reveal that, on average, about 80% of the shock remains unsmoothed in Europe while only about 18% of the shock is transmitted to consumers within the US. From aggregated figures, there is space for improving, particularly, the cross-border investments channel in Europe. In this sense, the completion of the Banking and Capital Markets Union are expected to boost risk sharing across European member states. We also review new additional issues usually not contemplated by the traditional literature as depreciation, migration and the role of sovereigns and two new additional channels recently considered in the literature: government consumption and the real exchange rate. Finally, we also examine recent analysis related to the geographic distribution of risk sharing.
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来源期刊
自引率
12.50%
发文量
10
审稿时长
10 weeks
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