基于评分规则的多维客观先验分布

Pub Date : 2023-11-18 DOI:10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106122
Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Cristiano Villa , Stephen G. Walker
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对于多维参数空间来说,客观先验的构建充其量是一项挑战。一种常见的做法是假设独立性,并将联合先验设置为通过“标准”客观方法(如Jeffreys或参考先验)获得的边际分布的乘积。然而,先验独立性的假设并不总是合理的,它是否可以被视为严格客观的,仍有待讨论。在本文中,通过扩展先前提出的基于评分规则的一维情况的客观方法,我们提出了一种新的多维参数空间的客观先验,它产生了一个依赖结构。所提出的先验具有适当的、不依赖于所选模型的吸引人的特性;只在考虑的参数空间上。
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A multidimensional objective prior distribution from a scoring rule

The construction of objective priors is, at best, challenging for multidimensional parameter spaces. A common practice is to assume independence and set up the joint prior as the product of marginal distributions obtained via “standard” objective methods, such as Jeffreys or reference priors. However, the assumption of independence a priori is not always reasonable, and whether it can be viewed as strictly objective is still open to discussion. In this paper, by extending a previously proposed objective approach based on scoring rules for the one dimensional case, we propose a novel objective prior for multidimensional parameter spaces which yields a dependence structure. The proposed prior has the appealing property of being proper and does not depend on the chosen model; only on the parameter space considered.

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