朝鲜是一个复杂的人道主义紧急情况:评估粮食不安全

Marcus Noland
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引用次数: 0

摘要

朝鲜是一个复杂的人道主义紧急情况,其核心是粮食不安全。截至2022年8月,数量和价格数据都表明情况正在恶化,而该政权对COVID-19大流行和乌克兰战争的自我隔离反应使情况变得更糟。粮食供应可能已降至人类最低需求以下,从一项指标来看,这是自上世纪90年代饥荒以来最严重的一次。北韩的粮食问题不仅是人道主义问题,也是战略问题。在这种背景下,援助所带来的外交影响力尚不清楚,考虑到其他地方的需求竞争,朝鲜作为受援国的优先事项也不清楚。要解决朝鲜长期存在的粮食不安全问题,需要朝鲜政府改变国内和外交政策承诺,但由于中国和俄罗斯的支持,这似乎不太可能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
North Korea as a complex humanitarian emergency: Assessing food insecurity

North Korea is a complex humanitarian emergency with food insecurity at its core. As of August 2022, both quantity and price data point to a deteriorating situation, made worse by the regime's self-isolating response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Food availability has likely fallen below minimum human needs, and on one metric is the worst since the 1990s famine. Food insecurity in North Korea is not only a humanitarian issue, but it is a strategic issue as well. In this context, the diplomatic leverage conferred by aid is unclear, nor is North Korea's priority as a recipient, in light of competing needs elsewhere. Resolution of North Korea's chronic food insecurity would require changes in the regime's domestic and foreign policy commitments, but this seems unlikely due to enablement by China and Russia.

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