检验功能时间序列中的变化点与长程依赖性

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Changryong Baek, Piotr Kokoszka, Xiangdong Meng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在函数时间序列的背景下,我们提出了一种显著性检验方法来区分具有变化点的短时记忆和长程依赖性。该检验基于投影到最佳方向上的系数,而最佳方向能捕捉到由于潜在变化点而无法观测的潜在静态函数的依赖结构。最佳方向也必须进行估计。检验统计量是利用应用于这些系数的局部惠特尔估计器构建的。在零假设(变化点)下,统计量呈标准正态分布,而在备择假设(长距离依赖性)下,统计量发散到无穷大。文章包括渐近理论、模拟研究以及对源自盘中资产价格的曲线值时间序列的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Test of change point versus long-range dependence in functional time series

In the context of functional time series, we propose a significance test to distinguish between short memory with a change point and long range dependence. The test is based on coefficients of projections onto an optimal direction that captures the dependence structure of the latent stationary functions that are not observable due to a potential change point. The optimal direction must be estimated as well. The test statistic is constructed using the local Whittle estimator applied to these coefficients. It has standard normal distribution under the null hypothesis (change point) and diverges to infinity under the alternative (long range dependence). The article includes asymptotic theory, a simulation study and an application to curve-valued time series derived from intraday asset prices.

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来源期刊
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Journal of Time Series Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering. The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.
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