拉贾斯坦邦绿豆:生长表现和分解分析

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在研究拉贾斯坦邦绿豆产量变化的生长表现及其面积和产量的相对贡献。纳戈尔、焦特布尔和巴利三个地区占拉贾斯坦邦绿豆种植总面积的50%以上,被选为研究对象。选取2000-01年至2019-20年的时间序列数据,将整个时期划分为2000-01年至2009-10年(子期I)和2010- 11年至2019-20年(子期II),采用复合年增长率(CAGR)、Cuddy - Della Valle指数(CDVI)和分解分析模型(Decomposition Analysis Model)进行分析。结果表明,在国家和地区层面上,绿豆的面积、产量和生产力均呈现正增长趋势。在大多数情况下,不稳定指数大于30,这表明在报告期内绿豆的面积、产量和生产力变化很大。子期II的正增长率相对高于子期i,且不稳定指数相对较低。研究进一步发现,在大多数情况下,面积效应大于产量效应,这表明其在州和采样区水平的绿豆产量增长中所占的份额更大。由于观察到绿豆面积的正增长率及其对生产变化的贡献,拉贾斯坦邦有空间增加绿豆种植面积,因为拉贾斯坦邦55%的地区的绿豆种植面积不到总面积的1%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mungbean in Rajasthan: Growth performance and decomposition analysis
The present study was conducted to examine the growth performance and relative contribution of area and yield to the change in mungbean production in Rajasthan. Three districts, viz., Nagaur, Jodhpur, and Pali, which together contribute more than 50% of the total area under mungbean in Rajasthan, were selected for the study. Time series data were collected from 2000- 01 to 2019-20 and to study the decadal performance, the entire period was bifurcated into two sub-periods: 2000-01 to 2009-10 (sub-period I) and 2010- 11 to 2019-20 (sub-period II). The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), Cuddy Della Valle Index (CDVI), and Decomposition Analysis Model were employed for analysis. Results revealed that the growth rate was positive for area, production, and productivity of mungbean at the state and district levels. The instability index was found to be greater than 30 in most of the cases, which indicates the high variations in area, production, and productivity of mungbean during the reported period. The sub-period II witnessed a comparatively higher positive growth rate accompanied by a lower instability index than the sub-period I. The study further revealed that the area effect was greater than the yield effect in most of the cases, which indicates its greater share in the increase in mungbean production at state and sampled district levels. With the observed positive growth rate in area and its contribution to change in production, the state has scope to increase the area coverage under mungbean, as 55% of the districts in Rajasthan have less than 1% of the total area under cultivation.
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