拆散美韩同盟:解读朝鲜在六方会谈中的战略

Politeia Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI:10.25159/2663-6689/11801
Ian Fleming Zhou, Jo-Ansie Van Wyk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

联盟的形成是各方决定和影响谈判结果的一种经过计算的决策。它的成功取决于几个因素,最明显的是联盟成员的凝聚力和共同利益、目标和策略的趋同。这次会谈的重点是美国和韩国在北韩核问题六方会谈期间的同盟关系。尽管美韩同盟的早期进展对其有利,但由于在朝鲜问题上的利益、方法和立场分歧,美韩同盟的内部凝聚力受到了破坏。本研究全面分析了美韩同盟对六方会谈的影响。虽然以前的研究探讨了谈判,但很少有人关注联盟的作用以及它如何随着时间的推移而演变,特别是在朝鲜操纵及其对谈判结果的影响的背景下。我们评估联盟的成功及其对谈判过程的影响,考虑到凝聚力、共同利益、目标和策略等因素。我们的研究采用了定性研究方法,广泛查阅了相关文献、官方文件、历史记录和六方会谈的主要资料。调查结果强调了强大和协调良好的联盟在应对重大全球安全挑战方面的重要性。为了在未来的谈判中取得持久的成功,盟国必须在应对朝鲜这样的对手时达成共识和战略共识。此外,这项研究呼吁重新评估联盟的动态和策略,以加强追求国际和平与安全的集体决心。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unravelling the US-ROK Alliance: Decoding North Korea’s Strategy within the Six-Party Talks
Alliance formation is a calculated decision by parties to determine and affect the outcome of negotiations. Its success depends on several factors, most notably alliance members’ cohesion and convergence of common interests, objectives, and tactics. The focus here is on the United States and South Korea’s alliance during the Six-Party Talks on North Korea’s nuclear programme. Despite early progress in the alliance’s favour, the internal cohesion of the US-South Korea alliance was disrupted due to divergent interests, approaches, and positions regarding North Korea. This research provides a comprehensive analysis of the US-ROK alliance’s impact on the Six-Party Talks. While previous studies have explored the negotiations, little attention has been given to the alliance’s role and how it evolved over time, especially in the context of North Korea’s manipulation and its consequences on negotiation outcomes. We assess the success of the alliance and its impact on the negotiation process, considering factors such as cohesion, common interests, objectives, and tactics. Our study adopts a qualitative research approach, utilising an extensive review of relevant literature, official documents, historical records, and primary sources from the Six-Party Talks. The findings underscore the importance of robust and well-coordinated alliances in addressing critical global security challenges. To achieve lasting success in future negotiations, it is imperative for allied parties to forge a shared understanding and strategic convergence in dealing with adversaries like North Korea. Moreover, this research calls for a re-evaluation of alliance dynamics and tactics to strengthen the collective resolve in pursuing international peace and security.
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