印度各邦的结构转型路径:面板数据分析的结果

Altaf Hussain Padder, Mathavan Bommayasamys
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在研究印度经济各州之间广泛经济部门的结构转型路径,这是经济发展的一个关键特征。部门产出的变动是本研究数据的一个关键规律,它检验了中低收入国家是否经历了与高收入国家相似的结构转型路径,如果没有,所遵循的不同路径的特征是什么。运用多项式回归函数拟合部门产出份额与人均收入之间的关系。本研究发现,部分中低收入国家的结构转型路径与高收入国家不同,在结构转型过程中增长速度快于高收入国家,且各国家内部存在较大的异质性。在过去十年中,印度的服务业产出份额略有下降,但这只是在经济转型第三阶段的邦中,以中低收入群体为主。高收入国家的服务业产出占比在本世纪头十年的头几年不断上升,随后急剧下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Structural transformation path across Indian states: Findings from panel data analyses
The present study aims to examine the structural transformation path across the broad economic sectors among the states of the Indian economy which is a key feature of economic development. The movement of sectoral output is a crucial regularity of the data for this study, to examine whether the middle- and low-income states have a similar structural transformation path through which the high-income states have passed, and if not, what are the characteristics of the different paths being followed. Polynomial Regression Functions were applied to fit the association between the share of sectoral output and per-capita income. The present study identified that some middle- and low-income states are following a different path of structural transformation that deviate from those of high-income states and grow faster than high-income states in the process of structural transformation, and there is great heterogeneity within each state. In the last decade, India has seen a slight dip in its services output share but only in the states of the third phase of economic transitions under the middle- and low-income groups. High-income states have shown increasing services output shares in the starting years of the first decade and then falling drastically.
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