气候变化影响与响应指数:差异量化与集体适应能力政策指导

IF 6.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY
Yi Xie, Huimin Li, Jingshu Liu, Lefei Han, Xiaoxi Zhang, Xiaonong Zhou, Xiaokui Guo, Leshan Xiu, Hao Yin, Kun Yin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

识别气候变化风险、暴露人群的脆弱性以及实施应对气候变化的措施,对于制定有效的缓解气候灾害战略至关重要。然而,现有的气候变化评估指标仍存在一定的局限性,如对政策响应考虑不足、覆盖国家范围有限、缺乏多维度视角等。在这项研究中,我们开发了一个新的气候变化影响和响应(CCIR)指数,该指数综合了气候风险、疾病负担和应对气候风险和损害的减缓行动的综合信息。据我们所知,CCIR指数首次探讨了各国在气候风险、影响和应对方面的差异,以确定脆弱性并找到更有针对性的解决方案。CCIR指数与国家人均国内生产总值之间存在正相关关系,这表明较富裕的国家可能会分配更多的资源来缓解气候影响。此外,气候教育更好的国家往往碳足迹更低,这凸显了气候教育的重要性。此外,新发传染病风险较低的国家更有可能消耗更多的可再生能源。研究结果强调了使用多维CCIR框架分析158个国家的社会经济因素、环境政策和气候变化风险之间相互作用的价值。这种综合方法为减轻气候影响和提高国家气候适应能力提供了可行的见解。它还简化了监测工作,促进了跨国界的联合气候行动。通过识别气候风险和机遇,CCIR指数可以帮助决策者设计、完善和实施适应政策和措施,以应对气候变化的影响。CCIR指数评估各国减缓和适应气候变化的努力。富裕国家在减缓气候变化方面投入更多。低收入和沿海国家容易受到气候变化的影响。新发传染病风险较低的国家消耗更多的可再生能源。气候变化教育与低碳足迹有关。关键词:气候风险气候适应脆弱性温室气体排放疾病负担公平性考虑首字母缩写CART=分类与回归树ccpi =变化绩效指数dalys =残疾调整寿命年sdsr =驱动因素-状态-响应epi =环境绩效指数fao =粮食及农业组织bd =全球疾病负担dis =地理编码灾害gdp =国内生产总值ghg =温室气体iea =国际能源机构rena =国际可再生能源机构vif =方差通货膨胀因子wos =科学网ecr =指标saho =空气污染相关健康结果ecce =气候变化教育ccir =气候变化影响与应对ccr =气候变化风险sctf =气候金融egu =能源使用eeid =新发传染病exw =极端天气frn =森林资源ge =温室气体排放shit =健康影响shri =热相关疾病rcc =应对气候变化eu =可再生能源使用披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。谢思:概念化、数据策展、形式分析、调查、方法论、软件、验证、可视化、写作-原稿、写作-审稿编辑。李慧敏:概念化,数据管理,形式分析,调查,验证,写作-审查和编辑。刘敬姝:概念、软件、验证、写作-评审与编辑。韩乐飞:软件,验证,写作-审查和编辑。张晓曦:概念化、数据策展、形式分析、写作-评审与编辑。郭晓奎:审稿、写作、评审、编辑。周晓农:验证、写作、评审、编辑。乐山修:方法论、监督、验证、撰写-原稿、撰写-审稿、编辑。郝茵:概念化、数据策展、形式分析、方法论、监督、验证、写作-原稿、写作-评审与编辑。尹坤:概念化、形式分析、资金获取、调查、方法论、项目管理、监督、验证、写作—初稿、写作—评审与编辑。同意发表作者愿意允许杂志发表这篇文章。本研究得到国家自然科学基金项目(项目号:22104090)和上海市自然科学基金项目(项目号:22ZR1436200)的资助。本研究由国家自然科学基金项目(71904104)资助。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The climate change impacts and responses index: quantifying disparities and guiding policies for collective resilience
ABSTRACTIdentifying climate change risks, vulnerabilities of exposed populations, and implemented responses to climate change are crucial for developing effective strategies to mitigate climate hazards. However, existing climate change assessment indexes still have some limitations, such as insufficient consideration of policy response, limited coverage of countries, and lack of a multidimensional perspective. In this study, we developed a novel climate change impacts and responses (CCIR) index that incorporates comprehensive information on climate risks, disease burden, and mitigation actions in response to climate risks and damage. To our best knowledge, the CCIR index is the first of its kind that explores variations in climate risks, impacts, and responses across countries to identify vulnerabilities and find more targeted solutions. A positive correlation was found between the CCIR index and national Gross Domestic Product per capita, indicating that wealthier countries might allocate more resources toward mitigating climate impacts. Moreover, countries with better climate education tended to have a lower carbon footprint, highlighting the importance of climate education. Furthermore, countries with lower risks of emerging infectious diseases were more likely to consume more renewable energy. The results highlight the value of using a multidimensional CCIR framework to analyze the interactions among socioeconomic factors, environmental policies, and climate change risks in 158 countries. This comprehensive approach provides actionable insights to mitigate climate impacts and improve national climate resilience. It also streamlines monitoring efforts and promotes joint climate action across international boundaries. By identifying climate risks and opportunities, the CCIR index can help policymakers design, refine, and implement adaptation policies and measures to respond to the impacts of climate change.Key policy highlights CCIR index evaluates countries’ climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts.Wealthier countries invest more in mitigating climate change.Lower-income and coastal nations are vulnerable to climate change impacts.Countries at lower risk of emerging infectious diseases consume more renewable energy.Climate change education is associated with a lower carbon footprint.KEYWORDS: Climate risksclimate adaptationvulnerabilitygreenhouse gas emissiondisease burdenequity considerations Acronyms CART=Classification and Regression TreesCCPI=Change Performance IndexDALYs=Disability-Adjusted Life YearsDSR=Drivers-State-ResponsesEPI=Environmental Performance IndexFAO=Food and Agriculture OrganizationGBD=Global Burden of DiseaseGDIS=Geocoded DisastersGDP=Gross Domestic ProductGHG=Greenhouse GasIEA=International Energy AgencyIRENA=International Renewable Energy AgencyVIF=Variance Inflation FactorWOS=Web of ScienceCCIR=indicatorsAHO=Air Pollution-related Health OutcomeCCE=Climate Change EducationCCIR=Climate Change Impacts and ResponsesCCR=Climate Change RisksCTF=Climate FinanceEGU=Energy UseEID=Emerging Infectious DiseasesEXW=Extreme WeatherFRN=ForestationGGE=Greenhouse Gas EmissionsHIT=Health ImpactsHRI=Heat-related IllnessRCC=Responses to Climate ChangeREU=Renewable Energy UseDisclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Authors’ contributionsYi Xie: Conceptualization, Data Curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Huimin Li: Conceptualization, Data Curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Validation, Writing – review & editing. Jingshu Liu: Conceptualization, Software, Validation, Writing – review & editing. Lefei Han: Software, Validation, Writing – review & editing. Xiaoxi Zhang: Conceptualization, Data Curation, Formal analysis, Writing – review & editing. Xiaokui Guo: Validation, Writing – review & editing. Xiaonong Zhou: Validation, Writing – review & editing. Leshan Xiu: Methodology, Supervision, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Hao Yin: Conceptualization, Data Curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Supervision, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Kun Yin: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing.Consent for publicationThe authors are willing to permit the Journal to publish the article.Supplementary MaterialSupplemental data for this article can be accessed online at https://doi.org/10.1080/13504509.2023.2268577Additional informationFundingThis work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 22104090 and the Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai under Grant 22ZR1436200. H.Y. acknowledges funding from the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 71904104.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
3.60%
发文量
58
审稿时长
18-36 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology is now over fifteen years old and has proved to be an exciting forum for understanding and advancing our knowledge and implementation of sustainable development. Sustainable development is now of primary importance as the key to future use and management of finite world resources. It recognises the need for development opportunities while maintaining a balance between these and the environment. As stated by the UN Bruntland Commission in 1987, sustainable development should "meet the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."
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