纽西德尔湖水位的统计分析

IF 0.6 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY

Austrian Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI:10.17713/ajs.v52i1.1444

Peter Hackl, Johannes Ledolter

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引用次数: 2

摘要

最近纽西德尔湖的低水位引起了人们对湖泊未来的关注，并引发了人们对气象变量如何影响水位的兴趣。过去50年的数据被用来研究降雨和温度对水位周期性变化的影响。利用线性和非线性回归模型描述了降雨和温度对水位的影响，并对三种情景下的水位变化进行了预测。对于2022年的平均气象条件，2022年的水位可能不会因为2021年的干旱秋季而恢复，但如果2021年结束时是潮湿的，则会大幅恢复。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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A Statistical Analysis of the Water Levels at Lake Neusiedl

The recent low water levels of Lake Neusiedl have raised concern about the lake's future and have sparked interest on how meteorological variables impact the water level. Data from the last 50 years are used to study the impact of rain and temperature on the cyclical changes of the water levels. Linear and nonlinear regression models are used to describe how rainfall and temperature change the water level, and to assess the future progression of the water level under three scenarios. For average 2022 meteorological conditions the water levels in 2022 may not recover for a dry 2021 autumn, but will recover substantially for a wet ending to the year 2021.

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来源期刊

Austrian Journal of Statistics STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-

CiteScore

1.10

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

24 weeks

期刊介绍： The Austrian Journal of Statistics is an open-access journal (without any fees) with a long history and is published approximately quarterly by the Austrian Statistical Society. Its general objective is to promote and extend the use of statistical methods in all kind of theoretical and applied disciplines. The Austrian Journal of Statistics is indexed in many data bases, such as Scopus (by Elsevier), Web of Science - ESCI by Clarivate Analytics (formely Thompson & Reuters), DOAJ, Scimago, and many more. The current estimated impact factor (via Publish or Perish) is 0.775, see HERE, or even more indices HERE. Austrian Journal of Statistics ISNN number is 1026597X Original papers and review articles in English will be published in the Austrian Journal of Statistics if judged consistently with these general aims. All papers will be refereed. Special topics sections will appear from time to time. Each section will have as a theme a specialized area of statistical application, theory, or methodology. Technical notes or problems for considerations under Shorter Communications are also invited. A special section is reserved for book reviews.