基于区域可持续发展新视角的水-能-粮关系

Mocheng Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究通过构建区域水-能-食物互动模型,从供给和需求的角度,揭示了区域层面水-能-食物三大要素的耦合和协同效应,以及区域内资源与外部资源的互动关系,探索了水-能-食物三大要素联动下的区域可持续发展。本文采用能源供需计量模型和最优区域总成本计量模型对区域总成本计量进行优化。本文简要介绍了情景分析的概念、适用范围和局限性。由于未来社会的发展具有很大的不确定性,因此它是预测和计算该地区未来情景和可持续发展的非常有用的工具。农业用水占水资源总量的55%,工业用水占18%。本文以粮食主产区为例,通过分析水-能-粮系统协同发展的现状及影响因素,在一定程度上丰富了已有的水-能-粮关系研究,为后续相关研究提供参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Water–energy–food Nexus based on a new perspective of regional sustainable development
Abstract By constructing a regional water–energy–food interaction model, from the perspectives of supply and demand, this study has revealed both the coupling and synergistic effects of the three major elements of water–energy–food at the regional level and the interaction between internal and external resources in the region, and explored the sustainable development of the region under the association of the three major elements of water–energy–food. In this paper, the energy supply and demand measurement model and the optimal regional total cost measurement model were used to optimize the regional total cost measurement. This paper briefly introduces the concepts, application scope, and limitations of scenario analysis. Because the future development of society is very uncertain, it is a very useful tool for predicting and calculating the future scenario and sustainable development of the region. Agricultural water accounted for 55% of the total water resources, and industrial water accounted for 18%. This paper took the main grain-producing areas as an example and enriched the existing research on the water–energy–food relationship to a certain extent by analyzing the current situation and influencing factors of the synergistic development of water–energy–food systems, offering reference to the subsequent related research.
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