{"title":"数字时代的犯罪预测:一个理论框架","authors":"Aldona Kipāne, Andrejs Vilks","doi":"10.25143/socr.26.2023.2.01-09","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The aim of the study is to describe the criminological framework of crime forecasting based on special literature, prac-tice materials and research. Analytical, synthesis, inductive, deductive and descriptive research methods are used inthe article. The authors conclude that the development of full, comprehensive and highly reliable crime forecasts is alaborious and complex process. Predictive measures should be designed in a more urgent manner – this might en-compass the reporting of anticipated crimes in advance, as well as the indication of changes in the overall structure ofcrime and dangerous trends of a specific type of crime. Consequently, there must be a warning effect in order to preventpossible adverse trends.","PeriodicalId":34542,"journal":{"name":"Socrates","volume":"50 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Crime Forecasting in the Digital Age: A Theoretical Framework\",\"authors\":\"Aldona Kipāne, Andrejs Vilks\",\"doi\":\"10.25143/socr.26.2023.2.01-09\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The aim of the study is to describe the criminological framework of crime forecasting based on special literature, prac-tice materials and research. Analytical, synthesis, inductive, deductive and descriptive research methods are used inthe article. The authors conclude that the development of full, comprehensive and highly reliable crime forecasts is alaborious and complex process. Predictive measures should be designed in a more urgent manner – this might en-compass the reporting of anticipated crimes in advance, as well as the indication of changes in the overall structure ofcrime and dangerous trends of a specific type of crime. Consequently, there must be a warning effect in order to preventpossible adverse trends.\",\"PeriodicalId\":34542,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Socrates\",\"volume\":\"50 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Socrates\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.25143/socr.26.2023.2.01-09\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Socrates","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.25143/socr.26.2023.2.01-09","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Crime Forecasting in the Digital Age: A Theoretical Framework
The aim of the study is to describe the criminological framework of crime forecasting based on special literature, prac-tice materials and research. Analytical, synthesis, inductive, deductive and descriptive research methods are used inthe article. The authors conclude that the development of full, comprehensive and highly reliable crime forecasts is alaborious and complex process. Predictive measures should be designed in a more urgent manner – this might en-compass the reporting of anticipated crimes in advance, as well as the indication of changes in the overall structure ofcrime and dangerous trends of a specific type of crime. Consequently, there must be a warning effect in order to preventpossible adverse trends.