基于BP神经网络的聚合物湍流减阻效率预测与评价

Yang Chen, Minglan He, Meiyu Zhang, Jin Luo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在石油开采和运输过程中,为了有效地预测和控制油流减阻能耗,本文提出了一种基于BP神经网络的聚合物湍流减阻效率预测与评价方法,可极大地改善聚合物湍流减阻效率预测依赖经验公式、通用性较低的现状。基于不同聚合物浓度、粘度、密度和雷诺数下的4种商用聚合物减阻剂FLOXL、М-Flowtreat、Necadd-447和FLO MXA的实验数据集,建立BP神经网络,并利用均方根误差(RMSE)值选择隐含层的最优神经元数,得到最优BP神经网络预测模型。4种聚合物减减剂的BP神经网络预测模型拟合度均在0.98以上,其中Necadd-447减减剂的训练BP神经网络R2为0.9949,是4种聚合物减减剂中效果最好的。本文建立的BP神经网络可应用于成品油长输管道湍流减阻输送,实现聚合物添加剂减阻效果的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction and evaluation of polymer turbulent drag reduction efficiency based on BP neural network
In the process of oil exploitation and transportation, in order to effectively predict and control energy consumption for drag reduction of oil flow, in this paper a BP neural network was proposed based method for predicting and evaluating the turbulent drag reduction efficiency of polymers, which can greatly improve the current situation of relying on empirical formulas and low generality in polymer turbulent drag reduction efficiency prediction. Based on the experimental data sets of four commercial polymer drag-reducing agents FLOXL, М-Flowtreat, Necadd-447, and FLO MXA, obtained at different polymer concentrations, viscosity, density, and Reynolds number, a BP neural network has been established and the optimal number of neurons in the hidden layer was selected using the root mean square error (RMSE) value to obtain the optimal BP neural network prediction model. The BP neural network prediction models for the four polymer drag-reducing agents all have a good fit of 0.98 or above, and the R2 of the trained BP neural network for the Necadd-447 drag-reducing agents is 0.9949, which is the best among the four polymer drag-reducing agents. The BP neural network established in this paper can be applied to the turbulent drag reduction transport of long-distance pipelines for oil products to achieve the prediction of the drag reduction efficiency of polymer additives.
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