奔向环境可持续性:经济复杂性、政治稳定性和能源转型之间的协同作用:从自举时间变化因果关系方法的政策洞察

IF 6.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY
Xuan Qing Sun, Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi, Zhixuan Han, Berna Uzun, Erdem Öncü
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要马来西亚对生态质量的承诺体现在其到2030年实现可持续环境的议程中。然而,能源转型努力面临的挑战、稳定的政治制度、不清洁的经济全球化实践以及向复杂经济的过渡等障碍可能会推迟国家实现其环境目标的时间。在此背景下,本研究将重点研究政治风险、经济全球化、能源转型和经济复杂性对马来西亚生态可持续性的影响。与以往的研究相比,本研究创新性地采用了一个虚拟变量来解释研究期间可能发生的潜在结构断裂。此外,本研究使用了一种创新的环境代理,在计算过程中结合了环境的需求和供给方面。利用1984 - 2018年的时间序列数据,采用ARDL估计方法,实证结果表明,经济全球化与马来西亚生态恶化存在长期关联。另一方面,从长远来看,经济复杂性、政治稳定性和能源转型将促进马来西亚的生态可持续性。此外,自举时变因果关系方法表明,每个回归量都有能力预测不同子周期的负荷能力因子。关键词:马来西亚,经济复杂性,政治稳定,自举,时变因果关系,能源转型,披露声明,我们可以断言,在这项研究中没有利益冲突。伦理批准本研究符合伦理标准和实践要求。作者的贡献所有作者对最终稿件的贡献相同。数据的可用性通讯作者可根据您的要求提供数据。本研究未获得专项资金
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Racing towards environmental sustainability: a synergy between economic complexity, political stability, and energy transition: policy insight from a bootstrap time varying causality approach
ABSTRACTMalaysia’s commitment to ecological quality is evident in its agendas for achieving a sustainable environment by 2030. However, hindrances like challenges towards energy transition efforts, stable political institutions, unclean economic globalization practices, and transiting to a complex economy could potentially delay the nation’s attainment of its environmental goals. Against this backdrop, the current study focuses on examining the roles of political risk, economic globalization, energy transition, and economic complexity on ecological sustainability in Malaysia. In contrast to previous studies, this study innovatively incorporates a dummy variable to account for potential structural breaks that may occur during the study period. Furthermore, this study used an innovative environmental proxy which incorporates both the demand and supply aspect of the environment during computation. Using the time series data from 1984 to 2018 and employed the ARDL estimator method, the empirical results indicate that economic globalization is associated with ecological deterioration in Malaysia in the long run. On the other hand, economic complexity, political stability, and energy transition are shown to promote ecological sustainability in Malaysia in the long run. Moreover, the bootstrap time varying causality method demonstrates that each of the regressors has the capacity to predict the load capacity factor during distinct sub-periods.KEYWORDS: Malaysiaeconomic complexitypolitical stabilitybootstrap time varying causalityenergy transition Disclosure statementWe can assert that there are no conflicts of interest concerning this research.Ethical ApprovalThe ethical standards and practices required were been observed in this research.Authors ContributionAll the authors contributed equally to the final manuscript.Availability of dataThe corresponding author can provide you with the data upon request.Additional informationFundingNo specific funding was granted for this study
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
3.60%
发文量
58
审稿时长
18-36 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology is now over fifteen years old and has proved to be an exciting forum for understanding and advancing our knowledge and implementation of sustainable development. Sustainable development is now of primary importance as the key to future use and management of finite world resources. It recognises the need for development opportunities while maintaining a balance between these and the environment. As stated by the UN Bruntland Commission in 1987, sustainable development should "meet the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."
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