外国直接投资(fdi)、投资组合、汇率和通货膨胀对经常账户余额(cab)的影响,腐败感知指数(cpi)为东盟1995-2022年期间的调节变量

Fatimah Az-zahra Wairooy, Hikmah Endraswati
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究以清廉指数(CPI)为调节变量,对1995-2022年期间东盟六国的外国直接投资(FDI)、证券投资、汇率和通货膨胀对经常账户余额(CAB)的影响进行了重新审视。使用MRA和面板数据回归进行假设检验。本研究采用了来自世界银行和透明国际(TI)的二手数据。它使用了来自六个东盟国家的168份样本:印度尼西亚、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡、泰国和越南。结果表明,外商直接投资(FDI)对经常账户余额(CAB)有显著的负向影响,证券投资对经常账户余额(CAB)有显著的正向影响,汇率和通货膨胀对经常账户余额(CAB)没有影响。此外,所使用的调节变量,即腐败感知指数(CPI),被证明能够调节四个自变量,并具有显著的负向效应。本研究仅限于东盟6国,且仅使用CPI作为调节变量。关于进一步研究的建议应在东盟6国以外复制,并考虑其他变数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE EFFECT OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI), INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO, EXCHANGE RATE, AND INFLATION ON CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE (CAB) WITH CORRUPTION PERCEPTION INDEX (CPI) AS A MODERATION VARIABLE FOR THE PERIOD 1995-2022 IN ASEAN-6
This study re-examines the effect of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), portfolio investment, exchange rates, and inflation on the Current Account Balance (CAB), with the Corruption Perception Index (CPI) as a moderating variable for the 1995–2022 period in ASEAN-6. Hypothesis testing using MRA and panel data regression. This study took secondary data from The World Bank and Transparency International (TI). It used 168 samples obtained from six ASEAN countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The results showed that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) had a significant negative effect on Current Account Balance (CAB), portfolio investment had a significant positive effect on Current Account Balance (CAB), and exchange rates and inflation had no effect on Current Account Balance (CAB). In addition, the moderating variable used, namely the Corruption Perception Index (CPI), is proven to be able to moderate the four independent variables with a significant negative effect. This research is limited to ASEAN-6 countries and only uses CPI as a moderating variable. Suggestions for further research should be replicated outside ASEAN-6 and consider other variables.
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