2022/2023赛季英超联赛阵型对比赛结果的相关性分析

Jong-Won Kim
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摘要

这项研究的目的是确定在足球比赛中使用不同阵型的球队之间的相关性。研究人员对2022/2023赛季英超联赛的380场比赛进行了调查。将阵型类型和球队素质作为自变量,将比赛结果作为因变量。共有380场比赛(760支球队)的19种阵型。其中,使用最多的阵型是4-2-3-1(34.3%),其次是4-3-3(29.2%)。4后卫占总阵型的79.4%,3后卫占17.6%,5后卫占3%。从球队来看,切尔西在一个赛季中使用了最多样化的阵型(n=38场),总共使用了10种阵型,而阿森纳、富勒姆和纽卡斯尔在整个赛季中只使用了一种阵型。4-3-3阵型的胜率最高,3-4-2-1阵型的胜率最低。从队伍质量上考虑,强队使用4个后腰1顶的胜率最高,弱队使用4个后腰2顶的胜率最低。根据阵型之间的相关性,使用4后卫和3顶的球队对阵使用4后卫和1顶的球队胜率最高,而使用4后卫和1顶的球队对阵4后卫和3顶的球队胜率最低。这一结果可以作为今后在应用领域和学术领域进行队形研究的教练员分析对手队形的基础数据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysing on the Relativity of Match Results according to Team Formations in English Premier League from 2022/2023 Season
The aim of this study was to identify relativity between teams using different formations in football matches. A total of 380 matches in the English Premier League (EPL) during 2022/2023 season was investigated. The type of formation and team quality were set as independent variables, and the results of the matches were set as dependent variables. There were a total of 19 formation types from 380 matches (760 teams). Among them, the most used formation was the 4-2-3-1 (34.3%) formation, followed by the 4-3-3 (29.2%) formation. 79.4% of the total formation was 4 backs, followed by 3 backs (17.6%) and 5 backs (3%). By team, Chelsea used the most diverse formation in one season (n=38 matches), with a total of 10 formation, while Arsenal, Fulham and Newcastle used only one formation in whole season. The 4-3-3 formation had the highest winning rate, and the 3-4-2-1 formation had the lowest winning rate. Considering the team quality, the winning rate of the strong team using 4 backs and 1 tops was the highest, and the winning rate of the weak team using 4 backs and 2 tops was the lowest. As a result of examining the relativity between formations, the team using the 4 backs and 3 tops had the highest winning rate against the team using the 4 backs and 1 top, while the team with the 4 backs and 1 top had the lowest winning rate against the 4 backs and 3 tops. This result is believed to be used as basic data for coaches who analyze the formation of the opposing team in applied world and academic areas that conduct formation research in the future.
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