综合评估模型和投入产出分析:促进可持续情景研究的桥梁领域

IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Julien Lefèvre
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要技术含量高的综合评价模型(IAMs)和环境扩展投入产出分析(EEIOA)在可持续发展分析中应用广泛,各有其独特的优势。iam侧重于前瞻性情景,探索技术转变和减缓气候变化的成本。EEIOA采用生命周期的观点,对整个供应链的环境和社会经济影响提供了更全面但静态的评估。我进行了文献综述,以评估IAM-IO集成的现状,为未来使用先进模型的研究机会铺平道路。现有的研究将IAM和IO模型松散地联系起来,以改进一个领域或另一个领域。这一观点强调了更先进的IAM-IO模型联系的潜力,并确定了可持续性情景研究中IAM-IO一体化可发挥关键作用的三个领域:脱碳途径中的能源-工业联系、多维可持续性影响评估和需求侧解决方案以及增长后气候缓解情景。预期的研究见解可能对设计有效的可持续政策至关重要。关键词:综合评估模型投入产出分析模型链接可持续性气候减缓情景披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。注1包括综合评价模型、能量模型、情景、投入产出、生命周期评价为了构建专注于IO的核心文献综述,我只保留了包含显式IO组件的混合LCA-IO研究。然而,我也考虑了其他一些更专注于LCA方法的论文,以正确看待IO方法,并强调LCA方法与IO相比的特定优势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integrated assessment models and input–output analysis: bridging fields for advancing sustainability scenarios research
AbstractTechnology-rich Integrated assessment models (IAMs) and Environmentally-Extended Input–Output Analysis (EEIOA) are widely employed for sustainability analysis, each offering unique strengths. IAMs focus on forward-looking scenarios, exploring technological shifts and climate change mitigation costs. EEIOA provides more comprehensive but static assessments of environmental and socio-economic impacts throughout supply chains, adopting a lifecycle perspective. I conduct a literature review to assess the current state of IAM-IO integration, paving the way for future research opportunities with advanced models. Existing studies have loosely linked IAM and IO models to improve one field or the other. This perspective highlights the potential for more advanced IAM-IO model linking and identifies three domains within sustainability scenarios research where IAM-IO integration could play a crucial role: the energy-industry nexus in decarbonization pathways, multi-dimensional sustainability impact assessment and demand-side solutions and post-growth climate mitigation scenarios. The expected research insights may be pivotal to design effective sustainable policies.KEYWORDS: Integrated Assessment ModelsInput–output analysismodel linkingsustainabilityclimate mitigation scenarios Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 Including integrated assessment model, energy model, scenarios, input–output, lifecycle assessment.2 For constructing the core literature review which is focused on IO, I have only retained hybrid LCA-IO studies that include an explicit IO component. However, I have also considered some other papers more focused on LCA approaches to put IO approaches in perspective and to highlight the specific strengths of LCA methods compared to IO.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
4.00%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: Economic Systems Research is a double blind peer-reviewed scientific journal dedicated to the furtherance of theoretical and factual knowledge about economic systems, structures and processes, and their change through time and space, at the subnational, national and international level. The journal contains sensible, matter-of-fact tools and data for modelling, policy analysis, planning and decision making in large economic environments. It promotes understanding in economic thinking and between theoretical schools of East and West, North and South.
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