人口老龄化和生育率对马来西亚经济增长的影响

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
Zulkefly Abdul Karim, Nurul Aqilah Mohd Nuruddin, Bakri Abdul Karim, Massita Mohamad, Ismahalil Ishak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的-本研究旨在研究1961年至2020年马来西亚人口老龄化和生育率对经济增长的影响。方法:采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型考察经济增长与人口老龄化、生育率、资本存量、就业率之间的关系。研究结果-主要结果为老龄化、生育率、就业和资本存量对马来西亚经济增长的长期关系提供了证据。从长期来看,人口老龄化不利于经济增长,但生育率的下降有利于经济的长期增长。启示-这些发现对国家老龄化和人口政策的执行和制定以及政府实现长期财政可持续性的努力具有重要意义。原创性-本研究实证调查了人口老龄化与经济发展之间的联系,反映了马来西亚最近的人口趋势。本研究使用当前数据和自回归分布滞后(ARDL)技术来分析长期经济增长及其与供给侧决定因素的关系
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of population aging and fertility rate on economic growth in Malaysia
Purpose ― This study aims to examine the impact of population aging and fertility rates on economic growth in Malaysia for the sample spanning from 1961 to 2020.Method ― The study uses an Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) model to examine the relationship between economic growth, the aging population, fertility rate, capital stock, and employment rate.Findings ― The main results provide evidence of a long-run relationship between aging, fertility rate, employment, and capital stock on Malaysian economic growth. The results also show that the aging population harms economic growth in the long run, but a decline in the fertility rate has been favorable to long-term economic growth.Implication ― These findings have significant implications for the execution and formulation of national aging and demographic policies and government efforts to achieve long-term fiscal sustainability.Originality ― This study empirically investigated the link between population aging and economic development, reflecting recent demographic trends in Malaysia. This study uses current data and an Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) technique to analyze long-term economic growth and its association with supply-side determinants
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自引率
20.00%
发文量
21
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12 weeks
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