油气复杂企业过程扰动的风险评估

I. S. Babanova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在油气复杂企业的条件下,为市场经济中最关键的消费者提供可靠、高质量的电力是讨论发展战略的主要问题。个别公司在面临提高特定生产过程的能源效率、制定和实施旨在降低成本同时保持产品数量的措施、减少单个设备的停机时间、发现和消除过程干扰的根本原因等问题时,会遇到不断的挑战,从而促进了这一点。在这个阶段,负责可靠性的专家不仅需要具备现代能力,还需要在有限的时间内证明和做出决策的能力。因此,对油气企业过程干扰的分析和监测以及随后的风险评估变得尤为重要和相关,具有这种能力的专家的作用增加了许多倍,因为与实际操作条件相对应的风险等级和分类出现了问题。本文概述了调查过程干扰的方法,提供了评估不同电压水平电网过程干扰风险的主要结果,根据确定的根本原因提供了风险的定量评估。对发现的问题提出了建议,包括对工业企业供电可靠性单项指标的分析。本文提出的应用矩阵法评估油气复杂企业供电系统过程干扰风险的解决方案将通过分析过程干扰的主要原因来降低现有的事故率,从而提高制成品的能源强度。此外,在这类企业的运作框架内采用这种方法将有助于管理供电系统的可靠性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk assessment in case of process disturbances at oil and gas complex enterprises
In the conditions of oil and gas complex enterprises, the main issues in the discussion of development strategies are reliable and high-quality power supply to the most critical consumers in a market economy. This is facilitated by the constant challenges that individual companies encounter when they face issues of improving the energy efficiency of specific production processes, developing and implementing measures aimed at reducing costs while maintaining the volume of products, reducing the downtime of individual equipment, finding and eliminating the root causes of process disturbances. At this stage, the specialists responsible for reliability need to have not only modern competencies, but also the ability to justify and make decisions in a limited time. Thus, the analysis and monitoring of the occurrence of process disturbances at enterprises of the oil and gas complex with subsequent risk assessment becomes particularly important and relevant, and the role of specialists with such competencies increases many times, as problems arise with the hierarchy and classification of risks corresponding to real operating conditions. This article provides an overview of methods for investigating process disturbances, provides the main results of assessing the risks of process disturbances for power grids of different voltage levels, provides a quantitative assessment of risks depending on the identified root causes. Recommendations are given on the identified problems, including the analysis of individual indicators of reliability of power supply to industrial enterprises. The proposed solutions for the application of a matrix approach to assessing the risks of process disturbances in the power supply system of oil and gas complex enterprises will reduce the existing accident rate by analyzing the main causes of process disturbances and, as a result, increase the energy intensity of the manufactured product. Additionally, the adaptation of this method within the framework of the operation of such enterprises will allow managing the reliability of power supply systems.
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