多数地位在势均力敌的选举研究中的作用

IF 4.7 2区社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Political Analysis Pub Date : 2023-04-18 DOI:10.1017/pan.2023.14

Matteo Alpino, Marta Crispino

{"title":"多数地位在势均力敌的选举研究中的作用","authors":"Matteo Alpino, Marta Crispino","doi":"10.1017/pan.2023.14","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Many studies exploit close elections in a regression discontinuity framework to identify partisan effects, that is, the effect of having a given party in office on some outcome. We argue that, when conducted on single-member districts, such design may identify a compound effect: the partisan effect, plus the majority status effect, that is, the effect of being represented by a member of the legislative majority. We provide a simple strategy to disentangle the two, and test it with simulations. Finally, we show the empirical relevance of this issue using real data.","PeriodicalId":48270,"journal":{"name":"Political Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Role of Majority Status in Close Election Studies\",\"authors\":\"Matteo Alpino, Marta Crispino\",\"doi\":\"10.1017/pan.2023.14\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract Many studies exploit close elections in a regression discontinuity framework to identify partisan effects, that is, the effect of having a given party in office on some outcome. We argue that, when conducted on single-member districts, such design may identify a compound effect: the partisan effect, plus the majority status effect, that is, the effect of being represented by a member of the legislative majority. We provide a simple strategy to disentangle the two, and test it with simulations. Finally, we show the empirical relevance of this issue using real data.\",\"PeriodicalId\":48270,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Political Analysis\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-04-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Political Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2023.14\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"社会学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"POLITICAL SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Political Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2023.14","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"POLITICAL SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

许多研究利用回归不连续框架中的接近选举来确定党派效应，即给定政党执政对某些结果的影响。我们认为，当在单一成员选区进行时，这种设计可能会发现一种复合效应:党派效应加上多数地位效应，即由立法多数成员代表的效应。我们提供了一个简单的策略来解开这两者的纠缠，并通过模拟进行了测试。最后，我们用实际数据展示了这个问题的经验相关性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

The Role of Majority Status in Close Election Studies

Abstract Many studies exploit close elections in a regression discontinuity framework to identify partisan effects, that is, the effect of having a given party in office on some outcome. We argue that, when conducted on single-member districts, such design may identify a compound effect: the partisan effect, plus the majority status effect, that is, the effect of being represented by a member of the legislative majority. We provide a simple strategy to disentangle the two, and test it with simulations. Finally, we show the empirical relevance of this issue using real data.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Political Analysis POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

8.80

自引率

3.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Political Analysis chronicles these exciting developments by publishing the most sophisticated scholarship in the field. It is the place to learn new methods, to find some of the best empirical scholarship, and to publish your best research.