北约与日本发展合作的途径:困难与前景

IF 0.1 Q4 AREA STUDIES
Ph. O. Trunov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自从北约成立和日本加入“自由民主国家”以来,这些国家在安全和防务领域几乎没有合作。在集体西方的欧洲部分,安全领域的合作在美国的参与下是多边的,而在远东则是双边的。但是,当今世界新秩序的形成以及非西方国家作为其中的一部分,为北约与日本之间的和解提供了强大的推动力。在新形势下,美国开始提出将威慑俄罗斯和遏制中国的体系整合起来的想法。这必然需要北约与日本的实质性合作。本文探讨了到本世纪20年代初这一进程的困难、进展和前景。为此,笔者运用了联盟理论和比较分析的方法。本文提出了欧洲北约成员国在全面参与威慑俄罗斯的同时加入遏制中国的实际军事困难。在这种情况下,美国鼓励他们的伙伴。首先,北约作为一个组织,其军事潜力的增长速度超过了成员国本国武装力量的增长速度。这意味着联盟可以同时参加两场对抗。其次,这是对远东作为北约全球活动新方向的战略兴趣的增加。其中一个原因是北约匆忙从阿富汗撤离(2021年),这意味着北约在中东的战略影响力的丧失和弥补这一损失的必要性。但是,欧洲行为体对印度-太平洋地区(IPR)日益增长的兴趣与他们以本国能力开展的活动结合在一起,而没有北约的支持。为了改变这种趋势,美国扩大了安全和防务领域的形式体系(激活QUAD,创建AUKUS和蓝色太平洋伙伴),加入了盎格鲁-撒克逊国家和日本。这些国家不仅加大了对中国的围堵力度,还激发了欧洲国家对此的兴趣。2022-2023年,北约与日本的政治合作进程有所调整和加强。双方已经做好了在军事领域合作的溢出效应的准备。本文展示了这种合作的变体,主要是在海军领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
NATO’s approach to develop cooperation with Japan: Difficulties and prospects
Since NATO’s establishment and Japan’s incorporation into the community of “liberal democracies” these actors hardly cooperated in the sphere of security and defense. In European part of the collective West, cooperation in the security field, with US participation, was multilateral, while, in the Far East, it was bilateral. But the present-day formation of the new world order and the non-West as its part gives a strong impetus to the rapprochement between NATO and Japan. In the new situation, the USA has begun to promote the idea of integrating the systems of deterring Russia and containing China. This inevitably requires substantial NATO-Japan cooperation.The article explores the difficulties, progress, and perspectives of the process by the early 2020s. For this, the author uses the theory of alliances and the method of comparative analysis.The paper presents the practical military difficulties for European NATO member states’ joining the containment of China at the same time as these countries are fully involved in the process of deterrence of Russia. In this situation, the USA encouraged their partners. Firstly, the military potential of NATO as an organization has been growing more rapidly than the strength of the member states’ national armed forces. This means that the Alliance can take part in two confrontations simultaneously. Secondly, this is the arising strategic interest towards the Far East as the new direction of NATO’s global activity. One of the reasons for this was the hasty evacuation of the NATO mission from Afghanistan (2021), which meant the loss of the Alliance’s strategic influence in the Middle East and the necessity to compensate for this loss.But the growing interest of European actors towards the Indo-Pacific region (IPR) was combined with their activity in their national capacities, without involving the auspices of NATO. Trying to change this tendency, the USA have expanded the system of formats in the sphere of security and defense (the activization of QUAD, the creation of AUKUS and the Partners in the Blue Pacific) with the membership of Anglo-Saxon states and Japan. These actors have not only increased their own involvement in the containment of China, but also stimulated European players’ interest towards this.In 2022–2023, the process of political cooperation between NATO and Japan has adjusted and intensified. The parties have prepared the spill-over effect of the cooperation into the military sphere. The paper shows the variants of this cooperation, primarily in the naval field.
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