印度财政纪律及其与经济增长的关系:基于证据的政策分析

Satyanarayana Murthy Dogga, Princy Tak, Jeevan Kumar Cheruku
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摘要

本研究试图从公共政策参数的角度对印度的程序性进步进行实证分析。该研究构建了1990-2018年期间的综合财政绩效指数(FPI)。报告的数值表明,在过去的二三十年中,FPI一直在显著增加。然而,显而易见的是,在1998-1999年至2003-2004年期间,财政纪律略显薄弱。自2003-2004年以来,财政纪律一直有持续增加的趋势,直到2007-2008年全球金融危机。利用构建的指数进一步确定其与经济增长的关系。从长期来看,fdi与GDP增长之间的因果关系是显而易见的。研究建议,作为一个联邦国家,中央政府应鼓励各级政府根据2003年财政责任和预算管理法制定宏观经济政策,以促进财政纪律。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Fiscal Discipline and Its Relationship with Economic Growth in India: Evidence-based Policy Analysis
This study attempts to make an empirical analysis to evaluate the procedural progress of India in terms of public policy parameters. The study constructs a composite Fiscal Performance Index (FPI) for the period 1990–2018. The reported values show that the FPI has been significantly increasing over the last two-three decades. However, it is clearly evident that the fiscal discipline was slightly poor during the period 1998–1999 to 2003–2004. Since 2003–2004, there has been a consistent increasing trend in the fiscal discipline till 2007–2008 global financial crisis. The constructed index was further utilised to establish its relation with economic growth. The causal relationship from FPI to GDP growth is evident in the long run. The study suggests that, as a federal nation, the Central government should encourage governments at all levels to promote fiscal discipline by formulating macroeconomic policies in line with the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act, 2003.
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