乌克兰戒严条件下银行流动性管理的反危机措施

Iryna V. Krasnova, Iryna Yu. Hromnytska
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是研究在俄罗斯联邦正在进行全面军事入侵的背景下,使用反危机货币工具在宏观层面支持流动性的特点,并确保乌克兰的金融稳定。央行面临着新的挑战和任务,包括保持银行的功能能力,采取审慎行动,支持银行体系的流动性和金融稳定。事实已经证明,流动性短缺和过剩都可能是经济震荡爆发的起点。对货币领域主要货币指标进行了比较动态分析,显示了货币领域主要货币指标的动态性、可控性和相对稳定性。值得注意的是,在"无法实现的三位一体"或蒙代尔-弗莱明三位一体的情况下,对货币实行了独立的货币政策,但在影响货币领域的非货币因素的影响下,出现了流动性螺旋的扭曲及其盈余的形成。与政府债券不同,政府债券和定期存单交易不是对社会有益的交易,在戒严令下,它们并不总是能实现确保金融稳定和流动性管理的目标。由于乌克兰政府的强制性军费开支,政府证券市场的货币传导不具有积极作用。对银行来说,这些业务是盈利流动性的来源。由于传导机制不起作用,政府和央行的行动,特别是利率的动态不一致,对经济没有起到稳定作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Anti-Crisis Measures of Bank Liquidity Management in the Conditions of Martial Law in Ukraine
The aim of the article is to study the features of the use of anti-crisis monetary instruments to support liquidity at the macro level and ensure financial stability in Ukraine in the context of the ongoing full-scale military invasion of the russian federation. The NBU is facing new challenges and tasks related to maintaining the functional capacity of banks, prudent actions aimed at supporting liquidity and financial stability of the banking system. It has already been proved that both a shortage and a surplus of liquidity can be the starting point of a shock explosion in the economy. A comparative-dynamic analysis of the main monetary indicators of the money sphere has been carried out, which has shown their dynamism, controllability, and relative stability. It is noted that in the context of the «unattainable triad», or the Mundell-Fleming trilemma, an independent monetary policy was introduced with respect to the currency, but under the influence of non-monetary factors influencing the monetary sphere, there is a twisting of the spiral of liquidity and the formation of its surplus. Transactions with government bonds and certificates of deposit, which, unlike government bonds, are not a socially useful transaction, do not always achieve the goals of ensuring financial stability and liquidity management under martial law. Monetary transmission in the government securities market does not have a positive effect due to the mandatory military spending of the government of Ukraine. For banks, these operations are a source of profitable liquidity. Due to the non-working transmission mechanism, the inconsistency of the actions of the government and the central bank, in particular, the dynamics of the interest rate does not have a stabilizing effect on the economy.
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