复杂适应系统理论驱动下的城市社会治理创新机制应对极端天气:7.20郑州洪水

Jianfeng Yang, Pin Zheng, Zitong Chai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为准确把握极端天气灾害下城市社会治理的逻辑和挑战,本文以河南郑州“7.20”特大暴雨灾害为例进行研究。综合分析了城市极端天气风险社会治理机制的灾情演变和应急失灵,发现城市极端天气风险社会治理机制存在适应极端天气灵活性不足、基层治理有效性不足、应对极端天气风险统筹协调不足等问题。运用复杂适应系统理论,提出了一个理解城市社会治理对极端天气风险的复杂适应响应的框架。在此框架的基础上,本文提出了应对极端天气风险的城市社会治理创新路径,包括通过数字赋权提高城市整体灾害响应的敏捷性,通过调整权力关系释放基层应急响应的弹性,以及通过建立标准化应急计划提高政府间协调能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Responding to extreme weather with innovative urban social governance mechanisms driven by complex adaptive systems theory: The 7.20 Zhengzhou flood
Abstract To accurately grasp the logic and challenges of urban social governance during extreme weather disasters, this paper examines the 7.20 Heavy Rain Disaster in Zhengzhou, Henan, as a case study. After comprehensively reviewing the evolution of disasters and failures in emergency responses, several issues were identified in the urban social governance mechanisms for extreme weather risks, such as inadequate agility in adapting to extreme weather, limited effectiveness of grassroots governance, and insufficient overall coordination in handling extreme weather risks. Using complex adaptive systems theory, a framework is proposed for understanding the complex adaptive response of urban social governance to extreme weather risks. On the basis of this framework, the paper recommends innovative pathways for urban social governance to cope with extreme weather risks, including enhancing the agility of overall urban disaster response through digital empowerment, unleashing grassroots resilience in emergency responses by adjusting authority relationships, and improving intergovernmental coordination capacities by establishing standardized contingency plans.
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