https://www.anmb.ro/buletinstiintific/buletine/2023_Issue1/02_EEA/169-177.pdf

Q4 Engineering
A BARA
{"title":"https://www.anmb.ro/buletinstiintific/buletine/2023_Issue1/02_EEA/169-177.pdf","authors":"A BARA","doi":"10.21279/1454-864x-23-i1-022","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The Photovoltaic (PV) systems are more present in the communities’ landscape providing energy to the consumers, public buildings, municipalities, and industry, smoothen the electricity prices fluctuations and reducing the dependency on the public grid. They are reliable energy sources for boats and ships as some of the PV technologies are flexible and can be located on plane surfaces or even on the water surface especially when the ships dock at sea or at the seashore. However, the operation of PV systems depends on several weather factors, and it is important to predict their operation to manage the controllable load. Furthermore, it is essential to know if the PV systems generate in surplus or additional energy is required to cover the load. The surplus can be offered for local trading or aggregated and offered for centralized markets. Therefore, in this paper, we aim to predict the output of the PV systems using machine learning algorithms and recurrent neural networks (RNN), especially a multivariate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. Data extraction, feature engineering, and forecast of the PV power are depicted and the simulations are performed using 4 PV systems located in Constanta County. The results are assessed with prediction performance metrics such as RMSE, MAPE, etc.","PeriodicalId":36159,"journal":{"name":"Scientific Bulletin of Naval Academy","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"https://www.anmb.ro/buletinstiintific/buletine/2023_Issue1/02_EEA/169-177.pdf\",\"authors\":\"A BARA\",\"doi\":\"10.21279/1454-864x-23-i1-022\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The Photovoltaic (PV) systems are more present in the communities’ landscape providing energy to the consumers, public buildings, municipalities, and industry, smoothen the electricity prices fluctuations and reducing the dependency on the public grid. They are reliable energy sources for boats and ships as some of the PV technologies are flexible and can be located on plane surfaces or even on the water surface especially when the ships dock at sea or at the seashore. However, the operation of PV systems depends on several weather factors, and it is important to predict their operation to manage the controllable load. Furthermore, it is essential to know if the PV systems generate in surplus or additional energy is required to cover the load. The surplus can be offered for local trading or aggregated and offered for centralized markets. Therefore, in this paper, we aim to predict the output of the PV systems using machine learning algorithms and recurrent neural networks (RNN), especially a multivariate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. Data extraction, feature engineering, and forecast of the PV power are depicted and the simulations are performed using 4 PV systems located in Constanta County. The results are assessed with prediction performance metrics such as RMSE, MAPE, etc.\",\"PeriodicalId\":36159,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Scientific Bulletin of Naval Academy\",\"volume\":\"10 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Scientific Bulletin of Naval Academy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.21279/1454-864x-23-i1-022\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"Engineering\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Scientific Bulletin of Naval Academy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21279/1454-864x-23-i1-022","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"Engineering","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

光伏(PV)系统更多地出现在社区景观中,为消费者、公共建筑、市政当局和工业提供能源,平滑电价波动,减少对公共电网的依赖。它们是船舶的可靠能源,因为一些光伏技术是灵活的,可以安装在平面上甚至水面上,特别是当船舶停靠在海上或海边时。然而,光伏发电系统的运行受多种天气因素的影响,预测光伏发电系统的运行对实现可控负荷管理具有重要意义。此外,了解光伏系统是否产生多余的能量或需要额外的能量来覆盖负载是至关重要的。盈余可以提供给当地交易,也可以集中起来提供给中央市场。因此,在本文中,我们的目标是使用机器学习算法和递归神经网络(RNN),特别是多元长短期记忆(LSTM)模型来预测光伏系统的输出。描述了数据提取、特征工程和光伏功率预测,并利用位于康斯坦察县的4个光伏系统进行了仿真。使用RMSE、MAPE等预测性能指标评估结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
https://www.anmb.ro/buletinstiintific/buletine/2023_Issue1/02_EEA/169-177.pdf
The Photovoltaic (PV) systems are more present in the communities’ landscape providing energy to the consumers, public buildings, municipalities, and industry, smoothen the electricity prices fluctuations and reducing the dependency on the public grid. They are reliable energy sources for boats and ships as some of the PV technologies are flexible and can be located on plane surfaces or even on the water surface especially when the ships dock at sea or at the seashore. However, the operation of PV systems depends on several weather factors, and it is important to predict their operation to manage the controllable load. Furthermore, it is essential to know if the PV systems generate in surplus or additional energy is required to cover the load. The surplus can be offered for local trading or aggregated and offered for centralized markets. Therefore, in this paper, we aim to predict the output of the PV systems using machine learning algorithms and recurrent neural networks (RNN), especially a multivariate Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. Data extraction, feature engineering, and forecast of the PV power are depicted and the simulations are performed using 4 PV systems located in Constanta County. The results are assessed with prediction performance metrics such as RMSE, MAPE, etc.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Scientific Bulletin of Naval Academy
Scientific Bulletin of Naval Academy Engineering-Ocean Engineering
自引率
0.00%
发文量
16
审稿时长
8 weeks
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信