数字货币和金融科技创新技术促进经济增长

IF 1.2 Q4 MANAGEMENT
Jurijs Baltgailis, Anastasiia Simakhova, Stanislav Buka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球经济向数字货币过渡是不可避免的。今天的货币监管方法并不能提供稳定和包容的经济,央行将被迫在实际实践中转向实施国家数字货币,这最终将允许对客户资产的使用进行全面控制和严格的业务监管,特别是在影子经济和税收犯罪领域。向数字货币过渡的主要因素是技术进步、在线交易的增加、独立于本国货币以及低佣金。本文的目的是在政府债务不断增长的背景下评估数字货币和金融科技创新技术的经济增长潜力。所得结果的科学新颖之处在于构建了GDP增长对通货膨胀、政府债务和长期利率依赖的回归模型。基于欧洲中央银行、欧盟委员会等互联网资源的统计数据,选取欧洲发达国家建立线性多元模型进行回归分析。通过回归建模得到的欧洲各国GDP对所选因素的依赖关系方程,可实际用于预测未来GDP指标。该模型表明,通货膨胀增长对GDP增长有负面影响,并证实了数字货币的引入有可能进一步实现经济增长,这将有助于减轻通货膨胀负担。严格控制数字货币的发行,吸引没有银行账户的人来做生意,有利于形成包容性经济,影子经济也会减少。这将为实体经济增长创造机会。据预测,数字货币的引入可能会带来一个更快、更方便、更便宜、更私人的支付系统,这对公民和企业都很重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Digital Currencies and Fintech Innovation Technologies for Economic Growth
The transition of the global economy to digital currencies is inevitable. Today’s monetary methods of regulation do not provide a stable and inclusive economy, and central banks will be forced to move on to the implementation of the state digital currency in real practice, which will ultimately allow introducing total control over the use of customer assets and strict business regulation,especially in the field of the shadow economy and tax crimes. The main factors for the transition to digital currencies aretechnological progress, an increase in online transactions, independence from national currencies, and low commissions. Thepurpose of the article is to assess the potential for economic growth of digital currencies and FinTech innovation technologies inthe context of growing government debts. The scientific novelty of the obtained results lies in the construction of a regression model of GDP growth dependence on inflation, government debt and the long-term interest rate. The regression analysis was conducted by building a linear multiple model for selected developed European countries based on statistical data from the European Central Bank, the European Commission, and other Internet resources. The equation of dependence of the GDP of European countries on the selected factors obtained as a result of regression modelling can be practically used to forecast future GDP indicators. The model showed that inflation growth has a negative impact on GDP growth and confirmed that further economic growth is possible with the introduction of digital currency, which will help to reduce the inflationary burden. The issuance of digital currency will be strictly controlled, which will contribute to the formation of an inclusive economy by attracting people who do not have bank accounts to business, and the shadow economy will be reduced. This will create opportunities for real economic growth. It is predicted that the introduction of digital currencies could lead to a faster, moreconvenient, cheaper and more private payment system, which is important for citizens and businesses.
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