全球海浪和风暴潮在气候变暖的情况下发生了变化

Tomoya Shimura, William J. Pringle, Nobuhito Mori, Takuya Miyashita, Kohei Yoshida
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化对沿海灾害风险的影响评估是为了评估沿海社区今后应如何调整其海岸防御系统和其他缓解措施。在这种背景下,全球平均海平面上升已经被充分研究了几十年。此外,为了适应沿海地区的变化,估计未来由于风暴潮和海浪引起的极端海平面的变化是很重要的。本研究的目的是在从20世纪中期开始到21世纪末气候变暖的150多年来,在一个极高分辨率的全球气候模式(GCM)强迫下,估计气候变化对全球波浪和风暴潮的影响。这使我们能够对全球波浪和风暴潮的过去和预测的未来变化获得一致和时间上无缝的理解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
GLOBAL OCEAN WAVES AND STORM SURGE CHANGES UNDER A WARMING CLIMATE
Impact assessments of climate change on coastal hazard risk are conducted in order to evaluate how coastal communities should adapt their coastal defense systems and other mitigation measures going forward. In this context, global mean sea level rise has been well-studied for several decades now. In addition, to mean sea level rise, it is important to estimate future changes in extreme sea levels due to storm surges and ocean waves for coastal adaptation purposes. This study aims to estimate the climate change impacts on both global waves and storm surges under an extremely high-resolution Global Climate Model (GCM) forcing continuously over 150 years, starting from the mid-20th century and extending to the end of the 21st century as the climate warms. This allows us to gain a consistent and temporally seamless understanding of past and projected future changes to global waves and storm surges.
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