将决策分析应用于不确定环境下高风险自然资源管理的经验教训

IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT
Kelly F. Robinson, Mark R. DuFour, Jason L. Fischer, Seth J. Herbst, Michael L. Jones, Lucas R. Nathan, Tammy J. Newcomb
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引用次数: 0

摘要

管理机构肩负着保护和管理自然资源的艰难决策。由于生态和社会的不确定性,可能存在来自多个司法管辖区的多个决策者,以及需要考虑利益相关者的不同价值观,这些决策很困难。决策分析为在作出保护和管理决策时考虑这些困难提供了一个框架。我们讨论了在这些类型的问题中应用决策分析的好处,并提供了来自劳伦森五大湖的三个案例研究的见解。这些案例研究描述了决策分析在机构内(管理双冠鸬鹚)、机构间(应对入侵草鱼)以及机构和利益相关者(可持续渔业收获管理)决策中的应用。这些案例研究提供了决策分析对自然资源保护和管理有用的方式的见解,但我们也强调了这些资源决策的未来需求。特别是,决策分析在保护和管理方面的应用将受益于生态科学和社会科学的加强整合,包括更广泛的利益相关者和权利所有者基础,以及为自然资源管理专业的本科生和研究生提供更好的决策分析教育机会。从我们的经验中得到的具体教训包括,通过组建工作组,协作定义目标并评估不确定性、风险和权衡,以及与具有适当定量技能的独立推动者一起实施参与性建模过程,从而尽早建立信任和透明度的重要性。历史:本文已被《进一步环境可持续性决策分析特刊》接受。资助:本研究由美国鱼类和野生动物管理局向密歇根州自然资源部提供的大湖恢复倡议基金(Grant F16AP01094)支持,并分授予密歇根州立大学。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Lessons Learned in Applying Decision Analysis to Natural Resource Management for High-Stakes Issues Surrounded by Uncertainty
Management agencies are tasked with difficult decisions for conservation and management of natural resources. These decisions are difficult because of ecological and social uncertainties, the potential for multiple decision makers from multiple jurisdictions, and the need to account for the diverse values of stakeholders. Decision analysis provides a framework for accounting for these difficulties when making conservation and management decisions. We discuss the benefits of the application of decision analysis for these types of issues and provide insights from three case studies from the Laurentian Great Lakes. These case studies describe applications of decision analysis for decisions within an agency (management of double-crested cormorant), among agencies (response to invasive grass carp), and among agencies and stakeholders (sustainable fisheries harvest management). These case studies provide insight into the ways that decision analysis can be useful for conservation and management of natural resources, but we also highlight future needs for decision making for these resources. In particular, applications of decision analysis for conservation and management would benefit from enhanced integration of both ecological and social science, inclusion of a broader base of stakeholders and rightsholders, and better educational opportunities surrounding decision analysis for undergraduates and graduate students of natural resources management programs. Specific lessons from our experiences include the importance of establishing trust and transparency early through the formation of a working group, collaboratively defining objectives and evaluating uncertainties, risks, and tradeoffs, and implementing participatory modeling processes with an independent facilitator with appropriate quantitative skills. History: This paper has been accepted for the Decision Analysis Special Issue on Further Environmental Sustainability. Funding: This study was supported by Great Lakes Restoration Initiative funding provided to the Michigan Department of Natural Resources [Grant F16AP01094] from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and sub-awarded to Michigan State University.
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来源期刊
Decision Analysis
Decision Analysis MANAGEMENT-
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
21.10%
发文量
19
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