新冠疫情期间欧亚经济联盟经济发展及一体化合作展望

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES
G. S. Mukina, D. Z. Aiguzhinova, L. A. Popp
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在大流行后时期,由于区域化程度的提高,对一体化联盟的研究变得重要起来。本文评估了欧亚经济联盟(EAEU)在2020-2022年期间的经济发展,并探讨了联盟内部一体化合作的前景。通过分析新冠肺炎大流行背景下欧亚经济联盟国家的经济发展,本研究旨在确定其变化并确定一体化前景。据推测,疫情激活了欧亚经济联盟在贸易和经济领域的一体化合作机制,并澄清了联盟内部的前景。采用经济与统计、结构分析和比较分析等方法,对欧亚经济联盟经济发展主要指标的变化进行了监测。2020年欧亚经济联盟国内生产总值(GDP)下降11.9%;然而,尽管2021年出现了三波大流行,但它已经显示出4.4%的增长。尽管对俄罗斯和白俄罗斯实施了经济制裁,但这一指标在2022年继续增长。2020年,双边贸易和对外贸易出现下降,但只有这些指标在2021年和2022年出现显著增长。在其他联盟中,欧亚经济联盟在2021-2022年期间的相互贸易增长方面处于领先地位,这表明宏观区域在该领域取得经济成功的可能性。研究证明,欧亚经济联盟应建立新的危机互助战略。研究结果有助于研究一体化关联的经济学,并可用于制定欧亚经济联盟的经济发展战略。未来的研究可能会考察对个别成员国的制裁对欧亚经济联盟经济发展的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Development of the EAEU during the COVID Pandemic and Prospects for Integration Cooperation
In the post-pandemic period, research on integration unions gained importance due to the increasing regionalisation. The article assesses economic development of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) considering the events of 2020–2022 and examines the prospects for integration cooperation within the Union. By analysing the economic development of the EAEU countries in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, the study aims to identify its changes and determine integration prospects. It is hypothesised that the pandemic has activated the integration cooperation mechanism of the EAEU in the trade and economic fields and clarified the prospects within the Union. Methods of economic and statistical, structural and comparative analysis were used to monitor changes in key indicators of economic development of the EAEU. Gross domestic product (GDP) of the EAEU decreased by 11.9 % in 2020; however, it has already shown an increase of 4.4 % in 2021, even though three waves of the pandemic were recorded that year. This indicator continued to grow in 2022, despite the economic sanctions against Russia and Belarus. While mutual and foreign trade declined in 2020, only these indicators significantly increased in 2021 and 2022. Among other unions, the EAEU is leading in terms of mutual trade growth in the period 2021–2022, indicating the possibility of economic success of the macroregion in this area. The study proved that the EAEU should establish a new strategy to provide mutual assistance in case of crisis. The findings contribute to the study of the economics of integration associations, and can be used to create economic development strategies for the EAEU. Future research may examine the impact of sanctions against individual members on the economic development of the EAEU.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
20.00%
发文量
23
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