尼日利亚-尼日尔三角洲降水时空变率作为气候变化的证据

Ademola Akinbobola, Kehinde Abayomi Lawal, Temi Emmanuel Ologunorisa
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摘要

本研究评估了1990 - 2020年尼日利亚尼日尔三角洲地区(贝宁、卡拉巴尔、哈科特港和尤约)降水的时空变化。本研究中使用的日降雨量数据是通过NASA的POWER(全球能源预测)的二次来源获得的。利用变异系数、标准化异常指数(SAI)、降水浓度指数(PCI)和季节性指数(SI)评价降水的变异性和季节性。年降雨量时间分析结果表明,贝宁的年降雨量在2000年最高,1999年最低;卡拉巴尔和哈科特港的年降雨量在2007年最高,1991年和2014年最低。尤尤在2000年最高,2014年最低。在59.46%和40.54%的年份中,SAI还存在降水负异常和正异常的年际变率。PCI和SI结果表明,尼日尔三角洲地区具有较强的不规则降水分布。研究结果证实了气象对地点的敏感性,为尼日尔三角洲地区气象站和区域气象灾害预防的实施以及环境系统减灾和管理实践的改进提供了支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatiotemporal Variability of Rainfall as an Evidence of Changing Climate over the Nigerian Niger Delta
This study assesses the spatial and temporal variability of rainfall over the Niger Delta area (Benin, Calabar, Port Harcourt and Uyo) in Nigeria between 1990 and 2020. The daily rainfall data used for this study were obtained through secondary source from NASA’s POWER (Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resources). Coefficient of variation, standardized anomaly index (SAI), precipitation concentration index (PCI) and seasonality index (SI) were used to evaluate rainfall variability and seasonality. The results of temporal analysis of annual rainfall indicated that Benin had the highest annual rainfall amount in 2000 and lowest in 1999 while Calabar and Port Harcourt had their highest rainfall amount in 2007 with the lowest occurring in 1991 and 2014 respectively. Uyo had the highest in 2000 and lowest in 2014. SAI also witnessed the presence of interannual variability of rainfall with negative and positive anomalies in 59.46% and 40.54% of the analyzed years, respectively. PCI and SI results implied that the Niger Delta area had strong irregular rainfall distribution. The results confirm the meteorological sensitivity to locations and provide support for the implementation of station and regional meteorological hazards prevention and to support the mitigation of hazards and improve the management practices of environment system in Niger Delta area.
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