南美气候分析的聚类方法及其应用综述

Luana Albertani Pampuch, Rogério Galante Negri, Paul C. Loikith, Cassiano Antonio Bortolozo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

南美洲气候的多样性是其广阔地域的产物,包括热带到亚热带纬度。整个地区降水和温度的变化源于不同的大气系统的影响。虽然有些研究描述了南美洲现行制度的特点,但它们往往没有利用统计技术来实现同质化。另一方面,其他研究采用多元统计方法来确定温度和降水的均匀区域,但其重点仅限于特定区域,如南部,东南部和东北部。令人惊讶的是,缺乏比较各种多元统计技术的工作,以确定整个南美洲的均匀区域与温度和降水有关。本文旨在通过比较三种技术来解决这一差距:聚类分析(K-means和Ward)和自组织地图,使用来自不同来源的温度(ERA5, ERA5- land和CRU)和降水(ERA5, ERA5- land和CPC)数据。生成了1981-2010年各区域的空间格局和时间序列。这一关于温度和降水的空间均一区域的分析结果有可能对气候分析和预报具有重要意义。此外,它们可以为各种气候学研究提供有价值的见解,指导农业、灾害管理和水资源规划等依赖气候信息的不同领域的决策过程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Review on Clustering Methods for Climatology Analysis and Its Application over South America
South America’s climatic diversity is a product of its vast geographical expanse, encompassing tropical to subtropical latitudes. The variations in precipitation and temperature across the region stem from the influence of distinct atmospheric systems. While some studies have characterized the prevailing systems over South America, they often lacked the utilization of statistical techniques for homogenization. On the other hand, other research has employed multivariate statistical methods to identify homogeneous regions regarding temperature and precipitation, but their focus has been limited to specific areas, such as the south, southeast, and northeast. Surprisingly, there is a lack of work that compares various multivariate statistical techniques to determine homogeneous regions across the entirety of South America concerning temperature and precipitation. This paper aims to address this gap by comparing three such techniques: Cluster Analysis (K-means and Ward) and Self Organizing Maps, using data from different sources for temperature (ERA5, ERA5-Land, and CRU) and precipitation (ERA5, ERA5-Land, and CPC). Spatial patterns and time series were generated for each region over the period 1981-2010. The results from this analysis of spatially homogeneous regions concerning temperature and precipitation have the potential to significantly benefit climate analysis and forecasts. Moreover, they can offer valuable insights for various climatological studies, guiding decision-making processes in diverse fields that rely on climate information, such as agriculture, disaster management, and water resources planning.
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