根据多元回归模型分析影响电子商务交易量的因素(土耳其案例)

Kurtuluş MERDAN
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于信息技术的发展,21世纪互联网的广泛使用不仅影响了日常生活,也影响了经济活动。随着互联网的普及,企业主已经转向网络营销系统,而不是传统的营销。此外,购买和销售交易已经从现实世界转移到虚拟世界,电子环境中用户数量的增加使得销售过程受到企业的欢迎,购买过程受到消费者的欢迎。本研究采用时间序列分析的方法探讨了电子商务的发展过程和影响电子商务的因素。在此背景下,首先用数字数据介绍了电子商务的历史发展,然后介绍了土耳其和世界电子商务的现状。最后,讨论了影响电子商务发展的因素。该研究的科学维度是通过汇集国内外文献的发现而创建的。在这项研究中,提出了2010-2021年可能影响土耳其电子商务交易量的因素,如人均国内生产总值(PCGDP)、互联网用户数量、社交媒体普及率、通货膨胀和Covid-19大流行。通过建立以这些因素为自变量的多元线性回归模型,呈现并解释了影响电子商务体量的因素的有效程度。本研究旨在填补文献的空白,并指导今后对类似问题的研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ÇOKLU REGRESYON MODELİNE GÖRE E-TİCARET İŞLEM HACMİNİ ETKİLEYEN FAKTÖRLER (TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ)
The widespread use of the internet in the 21st century, thanks to the developments in information technologies, has affected not only daily life but also economic activities. With the spread of the internet, business owners have turned to internet marketing system instead of traditional marketing. Additionally, purchase and sale transactions have been moved from the real world to the virtual world, and the increase in the number of users in the electronic environment has made the sales process popular for businesses and the purchasing process for consumers. This study discusses the development process of e-commerce and the factors affecting e-commerce with a time series analysis. In this context, first, the historical development of e-commerce and then the situation of e-commerce in Turkey and in the world are presented using numerical data. Lastly, the factors affecting e-commerce are discussed. The scientific dimension of the study was created by bringing together the findings obtained from domestic and foreign literature. In this study, factors such as Per Capita Gross Domestic Product (PCGDP), the number of internet users, social media prevalence, inflation, and the Covid-19 pandemic, which may affect the e-commerce transaction volume in Turkey, were put forward for the years 2010-2021. By creating a multiple linear regression model in which these factors are independent variables, the degree of effectiveness of the factors affecting the e-commerce volume has been presented and interpreted. This study aims to fill the gap in the literature and guide future research on similar issues.
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