解开宏观经济政策与社会经济结果之间的相互联系:东盟地区货币政策与财富不平等的一个案例

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Warawut Ruankham, Phoommhiphat Pongpruttikul
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在通过货币政策的视角,将东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)背景下的宏观经济政策动态与财富分配之间的相互联系联系起来。本文采用世界不平等数据库(WID) 2000 - 2021年6个东盟国家的时间序列和面板数据以及面板向量自回归(PVAR)分析了货币政策与财富不平等之间的动态相互作用。结果表明,降低政策利率、增加通货膨胀和经济增长在短期内导致财富不平等的显著增加。最富有的1%和10%的人的脉冲响应函数比中间的40%和最低的50%的人更明显。此外,该研究强调了一个有趣的时间动态,表明货币政策的影响不会立即显现。相反,这些影响是逐渐演变的。这种时间滞后表明了货币干预与经济因素相互作用的复杂性,并强调了在评估此类政策决定的结果时耐心和仔细观察的重要性。该研究的含义强调了政策制定者在长期政策目标中考虑货币政策的分配效应的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unpacking the interconnectedness between macro economic policies and socioeconomic outcomes: A case of monetary policies and wealth inequality in the ASEAN region
This study aims to link the interconnectedness between the dynamic of macroeconomic policies and the distribution of wealth in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) context through the lens of monetary policy. Time series and panel data from the World Inequality Database (WID) for six ASEAN countries from 2000 to 2021 and the panel vector autoregression (PVAR) were used to analyze the dynamic interactions between monetary policy and wealth inequality. The results suggest that lowering the policy interest rate, increasing inflation, and economic growth lead to a significant increase in wealth inequality in the short run. The impulse response function of the top 1% and top 10% wealthiest are more noticeable than those of the middle 40% and the bottom 50%. Additionally, the study highlights an interesting temporal dynamic, suggesting that the effects of monetary policy don't manifest instantaneously. Instead, these effects evolve gradually. This time lag indicates the complexity of how monetary interventions interact with economic factors and underscores the importance of patience and careful observation when assessing the outcomes of such policy decisions. The study's implications emphasize the importance for policymakers to consider the distributional effects of monetary policy in the long run policy objective.
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来源期刊
Asian Economic and Financial Review
Asian Economic and Financial Review Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
64
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