海平面上升是一个已知的威胁吗?基于在线调查的讨论

IF 6.5 3区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL
Stefano Solarino, Elena Eva, Marco Anzidei, Gemma Musacchio, Maddalena De Lucia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自上个世纪以来,全球变暖一直在以前所未有的速度引发海平面上升。在最坏的情况下,海平面可能比目前的水平上升1.1米,造成沿海淹没和级联效应,从而影响全球约10亿人。尽管这一现象广泛存在且具有威胁性,但由于它经常被全球变暖的其他影响所掩盖,因此市民们并不了解这一现象。在这里,我们展示了2020-2021年开展的一项在线调查的结果,该调查旨在了解公民对海平面上升的知识水平,包括海平面上升的原因、影响、地面沉降造成的加剧以及缓解和适应海平面上升的最佳做法。这项调查最重要的结果是,民众认为政府应该采取行动来应对海平面上升的影响,或者减缓海平面上升。尽管调查显示,他们实际上知道个人可以做什么,不采取行动会对社会构成威胁,但这种情况还是发生了。需要通过加强科学家和学校之间的合作来消除差距和先入之见,从而改善知识,增强我们社会的权能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is Sea Level Rise a Known Threat? A Discussion Based on an Online Survey
Since the last century, global warming has been triggering sea level rise at an unprecedented rate. In the worst case climate scenario, sea level could rise by up to 1.1 m above the current level, causing coastal inundation and cascading effects, thus affecting about one billion people around the world. Though widespread and threatening, the phenomenon is not well known to citizens as it is often overshadowed by other effects of global warming. Here, we show the results of an online survey carried out in 2020–2021 to understand the level of citizens’ knowledge on sea level rise including causes, effects, exacerbation in response to land subsidence and best practice towards mitigation and adaptation. The most important result of the survey is that citizens believe that it is up to governments to take action to cope with the effects of rising sea levels or mitigate the rise itself. This occurs despite the survey showing that they actually know what individuals can do and that a failure to act poses a threat to society. Gaps and preconceptions need to be eradicated by strengthening the collaboration between scientists and schools to improve knowledge, empowering our society.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
10.40%
发文量
31
期刊介绍: Georisk covers many diversified but interlinked areas of active research and practice, such as geohazards (earthquakes, landslides, avalanches, rockfalls, tsunamis, etc.), safety of engineered systems (dams, buildings, offshore structures, lifelines, etc.), environmental risk, seismic risk, reliability-based design and code calibration, geostatistics, decision analyses, structural reliability, maintenance and life cycle performance, risk and vulnerability, hazard mapping, loss assessment (economic, social, environmental, etc.), GIS databases, remote sensing, and many other related disciplines. The underlying theme is that uncertainties associated with geomaterials (soils, rocks), geologic processes, and possible subsequent treatments, are usually large and complex and these uncertainties play an indispensable role in the risk assessment and management of engineered and natural systems. Significant theoretical and practical challenges remain on quantifying these uncertainties and developing defensible risk management methodologies that are acceptable to decision makers and stakeholders. Many opportunities to leverage on the rapid advancement in Bayesian analysis, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and other data-driven methods also exist, which can greatly enhance our decision-making abilities. The basic goal of this international peer-reviewed journal is to provide a multi-disciplinary scientific forum for cross fertilization of ideas between interested parties working on various aspects of georisk to advance the state-of-the-art and the state-of-the-practice.
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