代际差异对经济增长的影响:来自欧亚国家的例子

Gözde Bozkurt, Volkan Öngel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人口结构的变化塑造了社会文化体系和国家经济。研究表明,人口增长和人口结构变化对各国的经济发展产生重大影响。然而,劳动生产率也是影响经济增长的重要因素。劳动生产率是指由于员工的努力和技能以及他们与其他员工的相互作用而产生的生产率的提高。在这一点上,劳动力市场的代际转换在劳动生产率的范围内显得尤为突出。考虑到过去三十年的技术变革,劳动力市场的能力和技能随着劳动力中个人代际差异的出现而发生了重大变化。许多研究还强调,在技术发展过程中出生的几代人(数字原生代)与在技术发展过程之前出生的几代人(数字移民)之间存在各种技能差异,例如技术能力。在此背景下,本研究旨在探讨欧亚国家劳动力市场代际变化对其经济增长的影响。利用1989年和2021年的劳动力参与率和经济增长数据,采用非平衡面板数据分析,分析代际转换对经济增长的影响。根据经济发展的研究结果,虽然确定了2006-2012年和2013-2021年范围内的年龄对经济发展的影响具有统计学意义,但1996-2005年范围内的年龄对经济发展的影响不显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Generational Differences on Economic Growth: Examples from Eurasian Countries
Changes in the population structure shape the sociocultural system and the countries’ economies. Studies show that population growth and demographic changes significantly impact the economic development of nations. However, labor productivity is also an important factor affecting economic growth. Labor productivity refers to the increase in productivity resulting from the efforts and skills of employees and their interactions with other employees. At this point, generational transitions in the labor market stand out within the scope of labor productivity. Considering the technological change in the past three decades, the competencies and skills of the labor market have changed significantly with the emergence of generational differences among individuals involved in the workforce. It is also emphasized by many studies that there are various skill differences, such as technology aptitude, between generations born in the technological development process (digital natives) and generations born before the said process (digital immigrants). In this context, the study aims to investigate the effect of generational changes in the labor market of Eurasian countries on their economic growth. Using the labor force participation rate and economic growth data for 1989 and 2021, the effect of the transition between generations on economic growth was analyzed using unbalanced panel data analysis. According to the findings on economic development, while a statistically significant and positive effect of the ages within the scope of 2006-2012 and 2013-2021 was determined, no significant impact was found for the generations within the range of 1996-2005.
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