不可再生能源对尼日利亚制造业产出的影响

Abayomi Awujola, Obumneke Ezie, Effiong Emmanuel Sunday
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摘要

能源,特别是不可再生能源在促进尼日利亚等发展中国家制造业活动和业务方面的作用怎么强调都不为过。本文利用1986年至2021年的时间序列数据,研究了不可再生能源对尼日利亚纺织和服装产出的影响,这是尼日利亚制造业的一个分部门。展览事实设计被用作指导。该研究使用了尼日利亚1986年至2022年期间水电、石油和天然气能源分别作为不可再生能源和纺织服装制造子部门产出的组成部分的年度时间序列数据。使用的数据来自尼日利亚中央银行(CBN)出版物和世界发展指标(WDI),这些数据被认为是计量经济学分析的可靠数据来源。使用ARDL回归技术来估计描述变量之间的关系,而使用philip - perron (PP)单位根检验和Bounds协整方法来确定数据的计量经济学性质。采用均值、峰度和偏度来描述数据。结果表明,纺织服装(系数,1.25449;概率值,0。000)对产出水平有显著的正向影响。煤炭能耗(CEC)(系数,-6.665467;p, 0.7170),石油能源消耗(PEC)(系数,-0.090996;假定值,0。6910)对纺织服装产量水平无显著负向影响。此外,天然气能源消耗(GEC(系数,19.80158,p, 0.0069)对尼日利亚纺织服装产量有显著的正向影响。《澎湃新闻》的结论是,不可再生能源对尼日利亚的纺织品和服装产量没有显著影响。该研究除其他外建议,联邦石油部应探索替代能源,特别是可再生能源,以促进经济增长,特别是纺织品和服装产量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of Non - Renewable Energy on Manufacturing Output in Nigeria
The role of energy, especially non-renewable energy in promoting manufacturing sector activities and operations in developing countries like Nigeria cannot be over-emphasized. This paper investigated the effect of non-renewable energy on textile and clothing output as a sub-sector of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria using time series data covering the period 1986 to 2021. Expost -Facto design was employed as a guide. The study used annual time series data on hydro-electricity, petroleum and gas energy respectively as components of non-renewable energy and textile and clothing manufacturing sub-sector output in Nigeria spanning from 1986 to 2022. Data used were obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Publication and the World Development Indicators (WDI) considered as reliable sources of data for econometric analysis. The ARDL regression technique was used to estimate depicting the relationship between the variables, while the econometric properties of the data were determined using the Phillip-Perron (PP) unit root test and the Bounds cointegration methods. Mean, kurtosis and skewness were employed to describe the data. Results showed among others, that textile and clothing (coefficient, 1.25449; probability value, 0. 000) has significant positive effect on output level. Coal energy consumption (CEC) (coefficient, -6.665467; p, 0.7170), while petroleum energy consumption (PEC) (coefficient, -0.090996; p-value, 0. 6910) had no significant negative effect on textile and clothing output level. Furthermore, gas energy consumption (GEC (coefficient, 19.80158, p, 0.0069) had significant positive effect on textile and clothing output in Nigeria. The Paper concluded that non-renewable energy has no significant effect on textile and clothing output in Nigeria. The study recommended among others, that alternative energy sources, particularly renewable sources should be explored by the federal ministry of petroleum for enhanced economic growth, particularly of textile and clothing output.
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