过去10年欧盟扩大政策的变化——是成功的国际实践,还是功能失调的转型?

Miljana Đurčević Cucić
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摘要

2004年以来,欧盟的转型和一体化潜力明显而有限。一种不同寻常的威胁和挑战模式阻碍了欧盟的扩大。在过去的十年里,西巴尔干半岛(WB)的一个国家被认为是加入欧盟的合适人选。世界银行的其他成员国仍在欧盟大家庭的大门前排队。本文的目的是评估最近国际舞台上的变化,包括乌克兰土地上的苦难和同时为乌克兰提供候选国地位,如何影响欧盟在扩大过程中的“红线”,以及从2004年相当大的扩大中吸取的教训。欧盟东扩政策作为欧盟外交政策的主要组成部分是否仍然具有“螺丝刀”的作用,或者它是否最终成为硬实力和武力的“锤子”,突然击中看起来像钉子的外交政策问题(卡根,2003年),就像乌克兰的例子一样?《里斯本条约》是否为欧盟扩大政策带来了深刻的转变?它是否仍然是欧盟的成功故事之一?本文旨在回答这些问题。评估方法基于国际实践理论方法和Christian Bueger和Frank Gadinger的实践定义和决定因素,即国际实践承诺理论(依赖于Emanuel Adler和Vincent Pouliot定义的实践要素)。这种方法判断欧盟是否是一个全球性的行为体,能够满足通过扩大政策创造国际惯例的所有要求。基于这些研究结果,本文证实了欧盟是一个在全球变革中生存下来的世界性角色,而欧盟东扩政策是一项有价值的国际实践。然而,在欧盟加入过程中,条件政策的变化可能导致几种情况,其中之一是对一些候选国失去兴趣,这可能导致人们认为扩大政策在未来是一种功能失调的转变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S ENLARGEMENT POLICY CHANGES IN THE LAST DECADE – A SUCCESSFUL INTERNATIONAL PRACTICE OR DYSFUNCTIONAL TRANSFORMATION?
Since 2004, the European Union’s (EU) transformation and integration potential has been evident and limited. An unusual pattern of perceived threats and challenges precluded the EU’s enlargement. One country from the Western Balkans’ (WB) fold was found suitable over the last ten years to join the EU. The rest of the WB are still queuing in front of the gates of the EU family. The purpose of this paper is to assess how recent changes in the international arena, including suffering on Ukraine’s soil and providing candidate status for Ukraine at the same time, affected the EU “red lines” in the enlargement process, together with the lessons learned from the considerable enlargement in 2004. Does the EU enlargement policy as primarily part of the EU foreign policy still have the effect of a “screwdriver,” or has it eventually become a “hammer” of hard power and force by hitting suddenly foreign policy problems that look like nails (Kagan, 2003), as it seems in Ukraine’s example? Did the Lisbon Treaty bring profound transformation to enlargement policy, and is it still one of the EU’s successful stories? This article aims to answer these questions. The assessment method is based on the International practice theory approach and Christian Bueger’s and Frank Gadinger’s definition and determinants of practice known as the Commitments of International Practice Theory (relying on elements of practice defined by Emanuel Adler and Vincent Pouliot). This approach judges whether or not the EU is a global actor that fulfills all inquiries of creating international practice from the enlargement policy. Based on the results, it is confirmed that the EU is a worldwide actor surviving in times of global transformations and that the enlargement policy is a valuable international practice. However, changes in the conditionality policy in the EU accession process could lead to several scenarios, and one of them is the loss of interest in some of the candidate countries, which could cause perceiving the enlargement policy as a dysfunctional transformation in the future.
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