腐蚀输气管道剩余寿命评估方法

P.D. Cespedes Garcia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究了受腐蚀磨损影响的加压输气管道的剩余寿命评估方法。考虑缺陷发展过程中的随机因素,采用分析工程力学模型ASME B31G Mod对该设施的运行可行性进行了分析。这些计算结果使用程序化实现的功能进行验证,这些功能用于诊断“管道腐蚀”功能集中的管道腐蚀缺陷,用于统计分析和数据计算。应用API 570标准的腐蚀速率的确定性计算方法,以及ASME B31G标准和相关行业文件ASME B31.8的估计失效压力水平的计算结果,可以根据实际腐蚀尺寸获得物体的失效极限值。通过结合这些方法,以及随后的综合计算来预测设施故障的结果,可以确定腐蚀天然气管道的剩余寿命。需要注意的是,在应用确定性计算方法时,忽略了大部分随机的物理化学降解过程,假设腐蚀速率是线性的,而没有考虑各种外部因素。为了解决这个问题,将采用概率物理方法来评估设施的剩余寿命,特别是扩散单调dm分布模型。在该模型中,以机械化学磨损过程的变异系数作为随机变量值离散度的指标,根据研究结果,选取腐蚀深度检测数据及其计算极限值作为评估输气管道腐蚀缺陷区域的参数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Methods for the residual life assessment of corroded gas pipelines
The article is devoted to processing the methods for the residual life assessment of pressurized gas pipelines affected by corrosion wear. The analysis of the operational viability of the facility was conducted using the analytical engineering-mechanical model ASME B31G Mod taking into account stochastic factors during defect progression. The results of these calculations were validated using programmatically implemented functions for diagnosing pipeline corrosion de-fects within the «pipenostics» function set for statistical analysis and data calculation. Applying a deterministic calculation method for corrosion rate in accordance with the API 570 standard, as well as the calculated results of the estimated failure pressure levels in accordance with the ASME B31G standard along with the associated industry document ASME B31.8, it becomes possible to obtain the failure limit value of the object based on the actual corrosion dimensions. By combining these methods, along with subsequent comprehensive calculations to predict the outcomes of the facility failure, it is possible to determine the residual life of a corroded gas pipeline. It is important to note that when applying the deterministic calculation method, most of the random physicochemical degradation processes are disregarded, and the corrosion rate is assumed to be linear, while various external factors are not taken into account. To address this issue, a probabilistic-physical approach will be applied to assess the residual life of the facility, specifically the diffusion-monotonic DM-distribution model. Within this model, the variation coefficient of the mechanochemical wear process is used as an indicator of the random variable values dispersion while according to the study results, the inspection data on corrosion depth and its calculated limit value, are selected as the parameters for assessing the corroded defec-tive area of the gas pipeline.
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