越南的旅游政策:使用差异中的差异模型的评估

IF 2.7 Q2 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM
Hoang Thi Phuong Thao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

今天,越南不仅以其悠久的历史而闻名,而且以其丰富的文化和壮丽的自然环境而闻名。越南是一个发展中的社会主义定向市场经济,严重依赖农业、原材料出口、外国直接投资和旅游业。特别是,越南经济的开放和政府经济政策的全面改革在过去十年中对旅游经济的增长起了重要作用。政府认识到旅游业对国民经济的突出贡献,决定大力发展旅游业,并首次出台了《2017年旅游政策》。本研究从现代化理论和政策执行理论出发,采用2014-2016年和2017-2019年两个观测期的差中差估计来衡量该政策的成功程度。这种模式以前从未应用于旅游业。不幸的是,没有发现旅游政策的有效性。推动旅游收入增长的因素是训练有素的劳动力和每年有大量企业参与的动态环境。首先,这一阶段(2017-2019年)可能被视为政策向地方延伸的时间,因此效果不佳。其次,与前一时期相比,这一政策还不足以推动突破性增长。最后,旅游发展政策缺乏信息、资金、程序,使参与旅游活动的各方无法获得。基于这些发现,提出了一些建议。研究结果可能为越南和其他国家的政策制定者提供有价值的参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Tourism policy in Vietnam: an evaluation using the difference-in-differences model
Today Vietnam is well-known not only for its long history but also its rich culture and magnificent natural environment. Vietnam is a developing socialist-oriented market economy, which heavily depends on agriculture, the export of raw materials, foreign direct investment, and tourism. In particular, the opening of the Vietnamese economy and a complete overhaul of the government’s economic policy have played a significant role in the growth of the tourist economy over the past ten years. Recognizing the outstanding contribution of tourism to the national economy, the government decided to boost the tourism industry and as a first launched Tourism policy 2017. Developed from modernization theory and policy implementation theory, this study aims to measure how successful this policy was using the difference-in-difference estimation with two observed periods: 2014–2016 and 2017–2019. This model has never been applied to the tourism sector before. Unfortunately, the effectiveness of the tourism policy is not found. The factors driving the growth of tourism revenue are the trained workforce and a dynamic environment with the participation of a large number of businesses per year. Firstly, this stage (2017–2019) could be seen as the time for the policy to reach out to localities, thus it has not been effective. Secondly, this policy was not yet powerful enough to promote breakthrough growth in comparison with the previous period. Lastly, the policy for tourism development was lack of information, funds, processes, in order for the parties involved in tourism activities could access. Based on these findings, some recommendations are made. The findings may serve as a value reference for policymakers in Vietnam and other nations.
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来源期刊
Journal of Policy Research in Tourism Leisure and Events
Journal of Policy Research in Tourism Leisure and Events HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-
CiteScore
6.90
自引率
19.40%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure & Events provides a unique forum for critical discussion of public policy debates relating to the fields of tourism, leisure and events. This encompasses the economic, social, cultural, political and environmental dimensions of official intervention. In addition to high quality theoretical and empirical papers, the journal publishes contributions examining the value of contrasting methodologies, or advocacy of novel methods. Inter- and multi-disciplinary submissions are particularly welcome. In order to foster debate and extend the scope of discussion, it publishes shorter carefully argued position statements on specific, topical interventions in the Contemporary Policy Debates section. In addition, the journal’s novel Dialogues section involves ‘point/counter-point’ debates between contributors on a range of policy-related or policy research-related topics. These may interrogate key concepts from different cultural, theoretical or spatial perspectives, or discuss potential responses to a range of practical challenges involved in undertaking policy-related research in the fields of tourism, leisure and events. With a swiftly growing academic reputation, the journal is ‘B’ rated by the Australian Business Deans Council (ABDC). It has received citations from a number of senior practitioners and influential bodies, including the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).
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