进口替代能成为欠发达国家可持续的工业化道路吗?

Godwin E. Uddin
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摘要

摘要:近年来,世界各经济体,尤其是欠发达国家(LDCs)为追求经济可持续性而进行的努力,也明显地看到了进口替代(IS)贸易战略的不受欢迎的回归,其长期以来确立的效果好坏参半。因此,在考虑到其原则及其影响的情况下,对关于IS贸易战略在绝对意义上对世界经济,特别是对当代最不发达国家和在各种政策选择中是否适当的文献进行了系统/元叙述审查。本文采用了PRISMA方法,并通过突出的主题对100多篇相关文献进行了探索,有助于概述新兴市场经济体的经验教训,并提供明确的意见,为政策方向提供信息。除其他外,本审查结果确定了资源不足和一些时滞因素,这些因素证明了IS贸易战略在绝对意义上的有限适用性,并强调发展中经济体或最不发达国家仍然需要允许某些进口,例如资本品进口进入其国内经济,以促进工业生产率的增长。因此,从所提出的审查来看,最不发达国家为容纳多国企业和或吸引外国直接投资以实现技术转让而作出的努力必须继续执行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Could Import-Substitution be a Sustainable Industrialization Pathway for Less-Developed Countries?
ABSTRACT: The strive for economic sustainability in world economies, most especially Less-Developed Countries (LDCs) in recent time notably see also an unwelcome comeback of the Import-Substitution (IS) trade strategy whose efficacy established overtime has been mixed. Thus, a systematic/meta-narrative review of literature on the appropriateness of the IS trade strategy in absolute terms to world economies, more particularly LDCs in contemporary time and among policy-alternatives, bearing in mind its tenets as well as its implications was carried out. The PRISMA methodology adapted here alongside an exploration of over 100 relevant literature through salient themes aid to present a synopsis of lessons from emerging market economies, and clear-cut submissions in a bid to inform policy directions. Amidst others, this review findings identify resource deficiencies, some time-lag considerations as such that attest the limited applicability of the IS trade strategy in absolute terms , and also emphasize the notion that Developing Economies or LDCs still need give allowance for certain imports, such as capital-goods imports, into their domestic economy for industrial productivity growth. Consequently from the review presented, efforts by LDCs to accommodate Multinational enterprises (MNEs) and or attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to achieve technology transfer must be continually implemented.
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